差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美元兌日圓匯率在通膨數據公佈前獲得支撐

週五之前,美元兌日圓匯率聚焦日本最新通膨數據。

USDJPY – Daily Chart

美元兌日圓-日圖

美元兌日圓週四在155.78找到了支撐,這在接下來將是至關重要的。

日本一年前的通膨數據為3.3%,但今年1月下滑至2.2%。然而,5月的數據已經攀升至2.8%。如果6月數據進一步走高,可能會推低美元兌日圓。

影響匯率的另一個因素是日本央行最近的干預。日本央行已經表明,對匯價的底線在160附近。由於擔心大幅下跌,任何向這一水平的上漲都不太可能出現來自機構的強勁買盤。

在失業率數據上升後,美元週四走弱。聯準會官員古爾斯比的鴿派言論也打壓了美元。他說,央行即將降息。他警告說,如果官員把貨幣政策的變化拖得太久,就有可能出現經濟衰退。

他沒有給出可能降息的確切時間表,但當被問及美聯儲現在是否有降息的基礎時,他說,“現在的條件合適嗎?是的,這就是通往2%的路徑。”

他在談到通貨膨脹時說:“這還沒有結束,但當你們兩個連續幾個月看到這種情況時,我感覺好多了。”

日本經濟已經擺脫了長期的通貨緊縮期,日本央行的言論可能暗示其貨幣政策將會改變。中央銀行表示,經濟在薪資上漲和2%的通貨膨脹率方面取得了進展。

日本央行表示:“許多地區報告稱,大企業在今年薪資談判中的大幅加薪,正蔓延至中小企業。”

最新的評估與4月的上次會議形成了對比,當時日本央行表示,有「希望的跡象」表明,大公司的薪資穩步增長將蔓延到較小的公司。

週五更高的通膨數據可能會令投資者拋售美元兌日圓。

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