差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

在加拿大央行決定利率之前,美元兌加元尋求突破

美元兌加元在1.1312上方交投,在加央行決議之前動能放緩,目前正在尋找買家。

市場預計加央行將大幅加息0.75%,而加息的實際規模或政策制定者的言論,要么限制美元漲幅,要么將導緻美元大幅上漲。usdcad chart

將決定美元是否能突破1.32或開始回落至1.30。

今天公佈的ISM非製造業PMI數據為56.9,提振了美元。這一數字高於預期的55.1,表明經濟保持在擴張狀態。

外界普遍預計加央行將宣布今年第五次加息,以應對高企的通脹。今年7月,央行出人意料地將利率上調了整整一個百分點,達到2.5%。如果加息至3.25%,對比年初的利率水平0.25%,將是一個巨大的飛躍。

分析師表示,也有市場預計加息50個基點,但更大可能性75個基點。交易者應該尋找機會進行出乎預期的交易。

預計美聯儲也將再次加息0.75%。如果加拿大採取更強硬的措施,兩國債券的收益率都將達到2.50%,這將使其更具吸引力。 0.75%-1%的加息會給加元帶來一些動力,但50個基點的波動可能會讓美元更具優勢。

這一貨幣對可能會在本週餘下的時間裡帶來一些波動,因為隨著利率決定的公佈,貿易平衡數據也會公佈。週五,我們將公佈加拿大經濟的就業情況。預計將增加1.5萬個工作崗位,同時失業率將上升0.1%至5%。這將使就業數據與利率決策更加緊密地聯繫在一起。交易員將關注加息是否會損害經濟,因為屆時加央行將考慮縮減利率。

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