差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元兌美元等待聯準會利率決定

由於市場在等待聯準會的利率決定,歐元兌美元的反彈走勢存在疑問。

EURUSD – Weekly Chart
歐元美元-週線圖

歐元兌美元的反彈停滯在1.15,而1.12是關鍵支撐位。在這一水平上的失敗可能會導致更深程度的調整。

歐元兌美元將成為本週剩餘時間的焦點,因為香港時間下午5點的歐元區零售數據將緊隨聯準會在周四之前的最新利率舉措之後。

儘管美國總統川普嚴厲批評聯準會降低借貸成本,但聯準會可能在周三維持其關鍵短期利率不變。

兩週前,總統說他可以解僱聯準會主席鮑威爾,導致金融市場大幅下跌,但他後來放棄了這個說法。他的財政部長史考特貝森特也支持聯準會降息。

美國政策制定者辯稱,通膨已穩定降溫,不再需要高借貸成本來抑制先前的價格上漲。由於封鎖後的壓力導致通膨上升,聯準會在2022年和2023年提高了短期利率。烏克蘭和俄羅斯的衝突加劇了供應鏈的動盪。

儘管這些壓力正在消退,但在周二和周三的會議上,預計聯準會將關鍵利率維持在4.3%不變。鮑威爾和組成聯準會利率制定委員會的18名官員中的許多人評論說,他們希望在採取任何行動之前看看川普的關稅如何影響經濟。

川普週五在社交媒體上發表進一步評論,稱“沒有通貨膨脹”,並聲稱食品和雞蛋的價格已經下降,燃料價格也有所下降。

紐約梅隆銀行首席經濟學家文森特·萊因哈特表示,美聯儲對2021年發生的事情感到“傷痕累累”,當時由於供應問題,價格上漲,美聯儲官員表示,價格上漲可能是“暫時的”。相反,通貨膨脹率在2022年6月飆升至9.1%的峰值,川普新政府稱聯準會為「臨時團隊」。

「聯準會將不得不等待證據,並在此基礎上緩慢調整,」 Reinhart說。

「你可以想像一個沒有來自川普政府的壓力,他們降息的世界……越快越好,因為他們認為這樣做是因為數據的緣故。」他說。

交易者將密切關注鮑威爾的言論,歐元兌美元的走勢將由該利率決議決定。強調謹慎降息可能會導致該貨幣對下跌。

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