差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美元高位回落 測試95.7水平

上星期美國公佈CPI及零售銷售數據後,美元從18個月高位回落,觸及20週線94.68後回穩上升,美元兌主要貨幣由低位回升。本周美國公佈的房屋數據和首領及續領失業金人數。關注疫情以來,美國房地產市場的行情一直非常火熱,房價飊升問題似乎不太可能在2022年緩解,還有就業情況持續改善,可能進一步推高房價,這些利好因素可能支撐美元。技術上,美元收復95失地後,接下來測試10日線95.70,若站上96水平可望向前高96.40。

 

另外,本週市場重視歐羅區,英國及加拿大的CPI數據,可能指引相關央行的貨幣政策取向。

 

就業數據影響英鎊

英鎊自今年開局走勢保持強勁,因外界猜測英國央行將在下個月再次加息,概率已達到 78%。投資者關註明日公佈的英國就業數據,因英國疫情肆虐期間,暴露英國勞動力市場長期供需不衡的問題,包括勞動力短缺帶來供應鏈瓶頸,間接影響物資運送和供應問題引發通脹飆升。若明日公佈的英國就業數據遠遜上月,可能增加英鎊下行壓力,初步留意技術支撐位1.3626及1.3588。隨後關注英國CPl和零售銷售數據,若表現超乎預期增長或提振英鎊,目標將在三個月前高位1.3830。

加拿大經濟复甦步伐強勁,市場認為央行加息的可能性達80%,這與加拿大央行的指引形成鮮明對比,即 4 月可能是最早時間加息。因此,即將發布的通脹數據和零售銷售數據可能至為重要。另外,投資者亦需觀察本週內公佈的OPEC和IEA月度原油市場報告。若各油組對原油供應保持樂觀增長的態度或指引油價再度上升,間接支持加元,美元兌加元可望下試三個月前低位1.2287,而技術重要阻力位留意1.2693。

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