差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元兌美元等待傑克森霍爾重要講話

歐元兌美元匯率為本週在美國懷俄明州傑克遜霍爾舉行的央行會議做好準備。

EURUSD - Daily Chart

歐元兌美元-日圖

歐元兌美元在之前的阻力位在1.5712上方徘徊。未來一周將決定是否會測試該水平或重返上行。在周五的聯準會主席講話指引之前,趨勢應該可以保持利好,並有望延續至下週。

分析家越來越認為,聯準會準備放鬆貨幣政策,這助長了圍繞鮑威爾講話的預期。在最近的7月份生產者物價指數報告超出預期之後,這種看法可能被誤導了。 FundStrat的Tom Lee表示,他希望「在降息方面採取和解的基調」。

由堪薩斯城聯邦儲備銀行主辦的傑克遜霍爾研討會向來是發布重大政策公告的平台。包括全球央行行長在內的100多名與會者參加了這次會議,討論政策和經濟問題。

荷蘭國際集團分析師認為,歐元正處於降息週期的尾聲。他們表示:“歐洲央行在7月份維持利率不變,市場已不再完全消化歐洲央行在這個週期內再次降息的價格。”“在峰值時,曲線顯示寬鬆幅度不到20個基點,但只有明年。”

「我們的經濟學家指出,美歐協議遠非理想,但它確實暫時提供了一定程度的穩定。他們預計2025年下半年不會出現經濟萎縮,並略微上調了今明兩年的增長預期。儘管這使得要求歐洲央行在9月進一步降息的呼聲變得複雜,但不斷下降的通脹動力之前仍勉強支持在德國的財政措施之前獲得再降息一次,而且要再降息。

市場對聯準會週五講話的反應很可能至少在下週繼續指引歐元兌美元。隨著歐央行降息似乎已經完成,市場現在的走勢將取決於聯準會未來幾個月的舉措。

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