差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元兌澳幣匯率聚焦即將公佈的經濟數據

歐元兌澳幣匯率聚焦於週二公佈的數據,對法國大選的擔憂也將令歐元承壓。

EURAUD – Daily Chart

歐元-日圖

歐元兌澳元正在測試關鍵支撐位1.6150。如果該水準被突破,下一個目標是1.5848。

澳洲儲行將於香港時間週二下午12:30召開利率會議。預計將維持現金利率穩定,避免升息,並推遲期待已久的降息。

最近的數據顯示,由於消費者削減開支,零售商的利潤舉步維艱。大宗商品價格下跌也意味著礦業公司的利潤下降,第一季下降了6.1%。這導致經濟學家對該國可能出現的經濟衰退發出警告。

經濟學家預計央行今年將降息,但擔心通膨。加拿大央行歐洲央行最近率先開始降息。如果他們維持利率不變,則可能令歐元承壓,因投資者可能看到,如果危機蔓延的壓力加大,歐洲央行可能會降息。

歐洲核心通膨以及德國和歐元區ZEW經濟調查數據將於香港時間下午5點公佈。這兩項數據都顯示經濟學家對歐元區的預期有所改善。然而,正如最近歐洲選舉前的調查所顯示的那樣,這是一個落後的指標。

作為避險交易,歐元兌澳元可能被拋售。隨著對即將到來的法國大選的蔓延擔憂,資金將樂於轉移到亞洲或澳洲。

最近的數據顯示,澳洲的商業信心指數轉為負值,經濟狀況降至平均以下,暗示高利率持續給消費者帶來壓力。然而,該國的就業情況顯示出改善,因此澳洲央行可能不會急於調整其貨幣政策。

NAB分析師稱,”總體而言,澳洲央行的消息喜憂參半。”他們補充稱:“我們預計澳洲央行將在一段時間內維持利率不變。”

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