差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由於槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 62.96% 的零售投資者帳戶在跟這個供應商交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。
62.96% 的零售投資者帳戶在跟這個供應商交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。
差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由於槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 62.96%的零售投資者帳戶在跟這個供應商交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險
75.12% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs / Spread betting with this provider.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75.12% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs / Spread betting with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs / Spread betting work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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多國央行議息儲局勢縮買債

12月超級議息周正式來臨,四大央行將於週四密集宣佈議息結果,週五則是日本央行宣佈。金融市場高度重視各央行明年貨幣政策展望,指引環球投資市場方向及部署明年策略。其中聯儲局議息結果和新聞發佈會將於週四率先出爐。由於美國11月CPI年率飆至近39年最高,意味聯儲局可能隨時宣佈將加快縮減買債規模,加息時間亦可能估計推前。

聯儲局決議前,市場亦關心美國11月零售銷售和PPI結果,兩項數據亦會給予重要參考,引導加息步伐美元或得到支撐。技術上,美匯指數現徘徊於96附近,若數據和貨幣政策利好,美匯有望測試96.70 或97。相反美匯回撤,先參考95.63支撐位,擴大回撤幅度將看95.00。

週四亦關注瑞士,英國及歐洲央行宣佈議息結果。市場一直關注英國何時加息,但受變種病毒出現,英國政府宣佈提高防疫措施,可能限制經濟增長發展。若英國央行議息會再一次宣佈維持利率和量寬規模不變,將可能給英鎊帶來一些下行風險。英鎊兌美元於日圖上,1.33阻力依然強勁,可能限制升幅。技術上若跌破近期1.3160低位,有可能擴大跌幅至1.30範圍。

另一市場焦點是歐洲央行議息,市場期望央行宣佈提早結束「疫情緊急購買計劃」(PEPP)和擴大「資產購買計劃」(APP),而且市場亦關心歐洲央行對通脹問題的展望,指引央行加息步伐。

但歐洲央行一直表示經濟復蘇仍然脆弱,因變病毒在歐洲蔓延,再次限制經濟活動就是例證之一。所以市場目光放在歐洲央行在這會議中期待宣佈擴大APP的確實數字或持續時間,若僅限於提出擴大資產購買規模的含糊承諾,讓投資者失去歐洲收緊貨幣政策的耐性,可能帶來歐羅下行壓力,有機會再考驗近期低位1.1230支撐。

Last Updated: 13/12/2021

This market commentary and analysis has been prepared for ATFX by a third party for general information purposes only. Any view expressed does not constitute a personal recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell as it does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives, and should therefore not be interpreted as financial, investment or other advice, or relied upon as such. You should therefore seek independent advice before making any investment decisions. This information has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. We aim to establish and maintain and operate effective organisational and administrative arrangements with a view to taking all reasonable steps to prevent conflicts of interest from constituting or giving rise to a material risk of damage to the interests of our clients. The market data is derived from independent sources believed to be reliable, however we make no representation or warranty of its accuracy or completeness, and accept no responsibility for any consequence of its use by recipients. Reproduction of this information, in whole or in part, is not permitted.


 

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