差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

黃金失速脫軌後投資人恐慌

黃金自從3,431美元強勁反彈以來的賣盤非常有限,但本週情況發生了變化。

XAUUSD – Daily Chart (1)

現貨黃金-日線圖

金價升穿3,431美元是一個非常大的突破,但沒有暫停或重新測試阻力位,這使得貴金屬尋找近期底部。

金價週二一度下跌6%,創下2013年以來的最大跌幅。白銀的賣家也出現了7%的跌幅,為2011年以來的最大跌幅。

分析師目前將這一走勢視為技術性的“重置”,而非結構性崩潰的開始,但也突顯出超買狀況。月度RSIA指標達到了有史以來的最高水準。

盛寶銀行商品主管Ole Hansen表示,金價在九週內上漲了31%,白銀在此期間上漲了45%,調整是不可避免的。

他表示:“排燈節前異常強勁的需求幫助支撐了價格,但隨著美元走強、股市風險偏好情緒高漲,以及亞洲實物買盤走軟,交易員開始保護利潤,而不是追逐新高。”

Kitco Metals分析師Gary Wagner表示:“此次回調早該出現,不應讓人感到意外。”“在如此長時間的上漲而沒有實質性回調之後,迅速而嚴重的逆轉是不可避免的。”

白銀價格突破了我們本週注意到的2011年的關鍵高點——50美元左右,現在這將成為白銀市場突破的障礙。不過,基本面的基本面依然強勁,各國央行每年的黃金購買量仍接近1,000噸的紀錄高點。

世界黃金協會最近指出,透過官方管道購買的黃金目前佔全球總需求的近25%,在投機資金回流時提供了一個底部。

25%的水平顯示反彈並未完全得到央行買盤的支撐,在市場尋求底部之際,投資者應該對波動保持謹慎。

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