差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

黃金在1807美元被拒:密歇根大學消費者信心如何影響大宗商品價格?

在美國CPI報告公佈通脹率放緩後,貴金屬黃金在周三升至1807美元後,遭到了一些抵制。美國的通貨膨脹率從6月份的9.1%下降到8.5%。

表明美聯儲可能會在9月的下一次會議上放慢加息的步伐。因此,消息傳出後,黃金價格在周三被推高,超過了1800美元。

美聯儲主席提及仍有可能在9月美聯儲下次會議上加息75個基點。明尼阿波里斯聯邦儲備銀行行長補充說,他認為這份報告沒有什麼令人印象深刻的東西能改變美聯儲在年底前將政策利率上調至3.9%、在2023年底前上調至4.4%的必要性。他認為通貨膨脹率仍然很高,暗示有必要重複9月份加息75個基點的做法。這些言論促使多頭在周三金價反彈後考慮了結對黃金和其他大宗商品的獲利。

黃金交易者正在等待密歇根大學消費者情緒報告,以了解普通消費者對美國經濟的看法。這將決定多頭是否會抑制對9月再次大幅加息的日益增長的擔憂,還是讓空頭接手。

消費者信心報告通常是消費者對美國經濟信心的綜合指數。這些數據是通過調查約500名消費者獲得的,調查者要求這些消費者給出他們對美國經濟的感受,並對當前和未來的經濟狀況進行評級。

這份報告的結果不僅會影響黃金,還會影響其他商品,尤其是白銀(XAGUSD)和石油(布倫特和WTI)的價格。

就像黃金一樣,週三通脹報告發布後,白銀也出現了大幅上漲趨勢。最初跳漲到20.81美元,隨後受當前回撤影響,導致今天亞洲交易時段的價格下降到20.28美元。

原油(WTI)價格也從上週的每桶86.50美元上漲到了每桶94.22美元。同樣,布倫特原油價格也從92.42美元升至99.26美元。

這三種商品正再次失去看漲勢頭,因為市場正在等待今天發布的消費者信心初值。

消費者信心報告將如何影響這三種商品?

大宗商品主要受市場情緒的影響。這是可以理解的,因為我們經常發現人們在市場上購買產品是基於他們對產品的感覺或其他人對他們說的有關他們。三大外匯大宗商品也不例外。今日發布的消費者信心初值報告將對外匯市場的黃金、白銀和原油市場產生重大壓力,這取決於該報告的結果。

這份報告的高數據意味著對美國經濟的信心,可能會引發這三種大宗商品的更樂觀趨勢。這意味著,我們可以預期金價將再次測試週三創下的高點,並有可能突破這些高點。

相反,這份報告的較低讀數將導致這些商品的一些拋售。在這種情況下,我們預計會再次測試前一周的低點。

在消費者信心發布之前,對三種重要商品的預測:

今天亞洲交易時段,美元指數在105.1有穩固的支撐,黃金、白銀和原油等三種大宗商品可能會暫時保持波動行情。

美元指數突破當前支撐位將導致這三種重要大宗商品在消費者信心指數發布之前遭遇更多拋售。

如果該報告超過52.5的預測,黃金可能會重新回到1800美元的水平。如果該報告的讀數下降,可能會將金價推至1,780美元的支撐位。

銀價的重要阻力位在21.50美元,而支撐位在19.83美元。

WTI的下一個阻力位是97.79美元,而它的周支撐位是87.52美元。

交易員今日在市場建立倉位時,應採取適當的風險管理措施,防範假突破的出現。

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