差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

在川普與歐佩克影響力中交投,原油價格走軟

由於投資人認為唐納川普降低油價的承諾比歐佩克減產的拖累力度更大,油價已經走弱。

USOIL – Daily Chart

美國原油-日圖

自10月下旬以來,美國原油價格曾兩度試圖觸底,但都以失敗告終。現在有重新測試66.50-67美元附近支撐位的風險。

唐納德·川普制定了一項計劃,以增加美國的鑽探活動,並將石油價格減半。這些言論將使近年來試圖透過減產來支撐油價的歐佩克國家領導人感到擔憂。

消息人士稱,川普計劃在上任後幾天內推出新措施,批准新的液化天然氣計畫的出口許可證,並增加美國海岸和聯邦土地上的石油鑽探。

即將卸任的拜登政府一直在尋求減少美國對化石燃料的依賴,並轉向綠色能源。預計早期的一個優先事項將是取消拜登總統在選舉年暫停的液化天然氣新許可證。另一個關鍵舉措是批准加拿大的Keystone管道項目,這是一個環境問題的引爆點,在拜登上任的第一天就被叫停了,這可能會導致工作崗位流失。

「美國人民可以相信川普總統在第一天就會利用他的行政權力來兌現他在競選過程中對他們的承諾,」競選發言人卡羅琳·萊維特說。

預計川普也將向總部位於巴黎的國際能源機構施壓,要求支持親石油政策。如果他們只專注於減排,總統可以拒絕向該組織提供資金。

Canary油田公司執行長Dan Eberhart表示:“我已經親自敦促川普和他的團隊向國際能源總署施壓,要求其回歸能源安全的核心使命,遠離‘漂綠’。”

短期來看,投資銀行高盛認為,OPEC減產有可能將原油從目前的低點推高。如果油價繼續試探最近的低點,2025年可能會處於一個低點,沙烏地阿拉伯及其盟友可能會採取行動。

未來一年,隨著全球熱點和川普與歐佩克的價格戰,石油市場可能會進一步波動。

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