差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

金價停滯在2000美元,因交易員認為風險下降

隨著對區域銀行和債務上限風險的擔憂消退之後,金價在 2,000 美元處停滯不前。

Gold – Daily Chart

黃金 – 日線圖

黃金價格低於 2,000 美元,交投於 1,989 美元,目標指向1,959 美元。

隨著許多國家的通脹降溫,黃金開始因擔心更嚴重的銀行業危機而上漲,。稍後還有美國債務上限被打破的風險,但兩者現在逐漸消退。

投資者知道,即使更多的銀行最近面臨倒閉的風險如第一共和銀行,財政部也會介入以保護所有存款。

美國經濟數據也拖累了黃金。第一季度經濟年化增長率為 1.1%,低於預期的 2%。我們在昨天的分析中寫道,最近的數據對美國經濟增長構成下行風險。

中央銀行仍然是金價的大力支持者,這與巴西等國家宣布與中國以人民幣達成貿易協議而拋棄美元的情況一致。中央銀行對黃金月度需求的貢獻達到創紀錄的 33%。自 1950 年以來,央行購買黃金的規模達到了前所未有的水平。

洛克菲勒公司的 Ruchir Sharma 表示:“這波購買熱潮將金價推高至接近歷史最高水平,比基於實際利率的模型所暗示的高出 50% 以上。” “顯然,有新的因素正在推動金價上漲。”

在湧入黃金市場的前 10 大央行中,有 9 個來自發展中國家,包括中國、俄羅斯和印度。巴西和南非的需求也有所增加。

“因此,最古老、最傳統的資產——黃金,現在是央行反抗美元的工具,”夏爾馬寫道。 “過去美元和黃金往往都被視為避資產,但現在黃金被視為更安全的資產。在3月份的銀行危機期間,黃金不斷上漲,而美元則下跌。兩者的走勢差異 從未如此之大”。

XAUUSD 黃金預測

如果美元指數能夠在 100 美元附近找到底部支撐,則可能會給金價帶來壓力。交易者警惕防金價近期跌破 2,000 美元後進一步回調,而 1,950 美元是金價的下一個支撐位。

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