差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

英鎊/美元主導本週的經濟數據

在英國政府在減稅問題上180度大轉彎後,英鎊兌美元最近出現反彈。

在接下來的一周,我們將從美國和英國看到許多數據的發布。

英鎊/美元週圖

gbpusd weekly chart october

週線圖顯示,英鎊兌美元在1.1410這個水平有阻力。在遭到拒絕之後,可能會回到下行或者重新尋求高點的突破,這將取決於數據。

本週的首個經濟數據是周二的英國就業數據,市場預測英國就業人數將減少12.7萬人,而上月為增加4萬人。儘管這樣,但預計失業率仍將維持在3.6%。

接下來的一天關注英國最新的GDP,預計到8月底的三個月GDP將下降0.2%。

稍後我們將會看到本週的第一批美國數據,PPI數據可能非常重要,隨後是美聯儲會議紀要。

在上週五就業數據好轉後,市場對央行即將轉向的預期有所減弱。預計央行將進一步加息75個基點,如果週四的通脹數據較高,一些人甚至考慮加息100個基點。上個月的數據是增長8.3%,高於預期的8.1%。

週五將公佈美國零售銷售數據和密歇根大學消費者信心數據,結束繁忙的一周。由於消費者感到手頭拮据,零售銷售額預計將從0.3%下降到0.2%。

週二的數據將是最重要的,交易員應該對波動有所預期。如果美聯儲加息預期降低,英鎊就能突破近期的阻力。然而,這首先還要取決於英國的就業和增長數據。

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