差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

英鎊兌日元準備迎進一步下跌

上週,在日本干預和英國貨幣政策的衝擊後,英鎊兌日元匯率大幅下跌。

日本央行自上世紀90年代以來首次干預外匯市場,英國新首相特拉斯宣布了一攬子支持和減稅措施,將增加英國的債務。

英鎊兌日元週圖

gbpjpy chart 26 september 2022

英鎊兌日元本週在163.50附近開盤,隨後跌至155.48,這是自2016年英國脫歐公投結果以來英鎊表現最差的一周。現在通往150點的路徑清晰,但在140點幾乎沒有支撐。

英鎊匯率的變化改變了遊戲規則,將英國及其金邊債券市場原先的避風港置於危險境地。市場還將考慮俄羅斯和烏克蘭的局勢,並認為他們的資金在日本等國家可能更安全。

財經日曆從日本央行行長黑田東彥的講話開始。他的言論可能為上週的日圓升勢推波助瀾,他的講話可能就是針對這一結果的。一個剛剛投入資金保衛其貨幣的中央銀行將樂於看到其投資立即獲得收益,並嚇跑空頭。

黑田東彥將於2023年4月卸任,日本央行的超寬鬆政策可能不會有什麼變化。黑田東彥最近表示,日本經濟正在復蘇,但日本央行“暫時”不會改變利率和貨幣支持。

彭博稱英國的減稅和放鬆管制計劃是“一場拿英國未來做賭注的徹頭徹尾的賭博”,並補充稱,隨著英鎊的暴跌,該計劃已經開始瓦解。

在被問及這一變化對外匯市場的影響後,英國財政大臣誇滕表示:市場會做它們想做的事。

彭博社補充說:“首相在這方面做得如此之大,仍然讓人感到震驚。她取消了所得稅的最高稅率,以提振收入最高的人群,還削減了公司稅、國民保險繳款和提前預告的購房稅。”

最終的總數甚至還不包括未來兩年為家庭能源賬單設定上限的全部成本。這可能會使納稅人的負債再增加1000億英鎊。在未來五年,減稅將花費財政部大約1610億英鎊。財政部提供的唯一數據是,未來六個月,進一步的能源擔保將使該金額增加約600億英鎊。 ”

德意志銀行外匯研究全球主管George Saravelos表示:“投資者信心正在迅速被侵蝕。 ”他呼籲緊急加息,以恢復人們對英國央行的信心。

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