差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美元兌日圓等待鮑威爾演講和日本通膨

美元兌日圓再次逼近150,儘管近期全球局勢緊張,避險資產出現反彈。

usdjpy chart

美元兌日圓日圖

美元兌日圓目前接近150,高於151.90的水平,即在2022年乾預創造的市場頂部。

在國際緊張時期,日圓一直是一種避險資產,但美國公債殖利率的上升加劇了日圓的疲軟。 明天有數據公佈,聯準會主席鮑威爾將發表演說。

在聯準會官員最近發表鷹派言論和評論後,市場不會期待有任何意外。 聯準會官員表示,市場一直在做聯準會的工作,公開市場的債券殖利率不斷上升。

明天的數據也將顯示日本經濟的通膨數據。

路透社通報,日本央行預計本月將調高通膨預期,顯示物價將連續兩年超過2%的目標。 新的季度成長和通膨預測將在10月31日結束的為期兩天的政策會議上公佈。 消息人士稱,日本央行將把今年的核心消費者通膨預期從7月的2.5%上調至近3%。

他們說,由於近期油價上漲預計將推高水電費,預計該銀行也將把2024年的預測從目前的1.9%上調至至少2%。 隨著中東緊張局勢導致油價再次上漲,情況可能會更加複雜。

日本央行認為,由於物價「持續」低於2%,它可以維持超寬鬆的貨幣政策,而這次修正將進一步加大這一論點的壓力。 日本央行也將面臨壓力,要求取消3個月前設定的10年期公債殖利率1%的上限。

日本央行可能會上調其價格預期,但目前它可能希望保持寬鬆的政策框架不變。 相反,它可以做的是提高上限,並將其解釋為旨在使框架更加靈活,」三菱UFJ摩根士丹利高級市場經濟學家Naomi Muguruma表示。

“但這樣做可能會讓日本央行的責任受到威脅,因為實際利率將離0%的目標太遠。”

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