差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

英鎊/加元將跟隨GDP及就業報告震盪

隨著市場準備迎接最新的英國GDP增長數據和加拿大就業數據,英鎊/加元可能會在本週尾段出現波動。

英鎊/加元日圖

GBPCAD– Daily Chart

英鎊兌加元最近在1.61附近找到支撐,標誌著雙底。在最新數據發布之前,該貨幣對已經反彈至1.63。

油價的持續壓力在2023年初拖累了加元,並限制了加元的任何漲幅。儘管中國希望重新開放,但原油仍難以突破80美元的水平。

英國著名智庫Niesr表示,該國應避免經濟衰退,英國經濟在GDP數據公佈前得到提振。英國國家經濟和社會研究所表示,儘管高物價影響了家庭支出,但英國經濟應該會繼續小幅增長。然而,該項目警告說,雖然該國可能不會陷入衰退,但至少有700萬家庭的前景可能並不樂觀。

截至12月的3個月GDP平均值預計為0%,標誌著第四季度同比增長0.4%。這將大大低於之前估計的1.9%,國際貨幣基金組織最近表示,英國脫歐後的情況將更糟。

與此同時,據英國工業聯合會(CBI)稱,財政大臣和首相被敦促利用即將到來的3月份預算來減輕最近利得稅上漲的衝擊。 CBI表示,鼓勵企業免稅投資機器和技術,將提振資源支出,並使該國擺脫長達10年的經濟增長低迷。

加拿大就業市場預計1月份將新增1.5萬個就業崗位,上月為10.4萬個。儘管有新的工作崗位,失業率仍可能從5%下滑至5.1%。如果週五的數據對英國有利,加元兌英鎊可能會失守。疲軟就業是加拿大的一個風險,而GDP報告如果意外英鎊可能會延續目前的漲勢。

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