差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元/英鎊尋找進一步上漲的支撐

歐元兌英鎊已在關鍵的上行趨勢線上找到支撐,將根據經濟數據尋求進一步上漲。

週二,德國和歐元區將公佈ZEW經濟信心數據。週三將是英國和歐洲公佈通脹數據的重要日子。

歐元/英鎊日圖

october eurgbp chart

歐元兌英鎊在0.8600水平找到了買盤,現在等待數據。

在英國,新財政大臣正試圖在最近的債券市場動盪後穩定局面,新首相仍面臨壓力。這在未來幾個交易日給英鎊增加了阻力。

傑里米·亨特宣布,他將取消政府上個月宣布的“幾乎所有”減稅措施。亨特表示,一個普通家庭每年2500英鎊的能源支出上限將被降低。這將持續到4月,屆時將尋求一種“將大大降低納稅人成本”的新方法。另一個逆轉是將於4月實施的個稅削減1美分,利率將無限期維持在20便士,“直到經濟形勢允許下調為止”。

英國經濟將於週三公佈通脹數據,預計將達到10%。上個月數據從10.1%降至9.9%,但預計還會小幅上漲。當天晚些時候還將公佈歐元區核心通脹數據。這一數字可能會從4.3%升至4.8%,並可能引發歐洲央行的加息討論。

德國經濟部長Robert Habeck週一表示,”在財政政策到位的情況下,他們可以避免歐洲陷入深度衰退,而不會加劇通脹。今年冬天過後,我們可以預期全球市場的天然氣價格將會下降。”

據說歐洲有足夠的天然氣供應過冬,但是預測說明年的情況可能會更糟。各國政府已成功地緊急補充地下天然氣儲備,為冬季做準備。本週,德國提前兩週將天然氣儲量填滿至95%,達到了一個臨界點。整個歐元區的天然氣儲量也接近92%。

但專家警告說,歐洲的天然氣儲存設計只能維持幾個月,不管冬天是冷還是暖。來自俄羅斯的能源供應越來越有限,明年沒有新項目投產,再加上來自亞洲市場的激烈競爭,歐洲的能源危機看起來將在明年惡化。

哥倫比亞大學能源政策中心的Tatiana Mitrova表示:“最有可能的情況是,到春季供暖季結束時,地下儲存的所有天然氣都將被利用完,到2023年,歐洲的天然氣供應不會出現顯著增加。幾乎可以肯定,明年的情況會更糟。

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