差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

原油價格繼續維持80美元關口上方

原油價格突破80美元大關,試圖延續最近的上漲動能。

US OIL - Daily Chart

美國原油-日圖

油價在81.26美元的水平上交易,而80.58美元是關鍵的,油價將需要在這裡找到持續的支撐,才可能回落至84.40美元的水平。

油價週二走高,此前紐約聯邦儲備銀行一位政策制定者對未來降息路徑發表了積極評論。分析師預計,美國原油庫存數據將較低。

基準的西德州中質油和布蘭特原油期貨週一上漲約2%,收在4月以來的最高水準。紐約聯邦儲備銀行行長約翰威廉斯表示,利率將逐步下降,這推動了價格上漲。

“我認為事情正朝著正確的方向發展,”當被問及根據目前的市場狀況,美聯儲是否會在9月降息時,他表示。他也表示,降息將取決於未來的數據。不過,波士頓聯邦儲備銀行總裁威廉斯和里士滿聯邦儲備銀行總裁巴爾金的言論則更為謹慎。

在石油供應方面,本週市場將密切關注美國的庫存數據,因為這些數據將繼續評估夏季駕駛季節的需求是否在增加。

根據路透社調查,上周美國原油庫存預計減少230萬桶。

同時,一些分析師仍看好歐佩克+集團最近延長減產的影響。

Rystad Energy副總裁Patricio Valdivieso表示:“OPEC+提供的最新指引,以及他們不變的225萬桶/天的需求增長前景,表明2024年石油供應增長停滯,2025年產量明顯存在下行風險。”

他補充稱:“在全球石油供應增長似乎大幅減少的情況下,很難保持完全看空。”

在其他新聞方面,據俄羅斯官員稱,烏克蘭無人機襲擊導致俄羅斯南部亞速港的一個石油碼頭發生大火。亞速港有兩個油品碼頭,從1月到5月處理約22萬噸用於出口的燃料。對俄羅斯基礎設施的持續攻擊威脅到全球實體供應,並推高了原油期貨的風險溢價。

官方數據顯示,中國5月煉油廠產量較去年同期下降1.8%,原因是煉油廠承諾按計畫進行維修。原油價格上漲也對煉油利潤率造成壓力,降低了煉油商的利潤。

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