差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

在近期數據指引後,歐元兌英鎊尋求突破

歐元兌英鎊匯率測試了強勁阻力,但最近的數據不足以帶動其突破年度高點。

EURGBP – Daily Chart (2)

歐元兌英鎊-日圖

歐元兌英鎊在經歷了8月以來的一些較高低點後,重新回到了年高點0.8737。這可能會導致歐元走高,如果它能突破這一關口的話。

英國經濟週五公佈了零售銷售數據,市場預計會下降0.2%。這項數據更為強勁,為0.5%,對英鎊有利。

英國財政大臣雷切爾•里夫斯將公佈11月預算案,預計她將在預算案中提高稅收或削減支出,以填補高達500億美元的政府支出黑洞,這可能是英鎊面臨風險的一個令人擔憂的跡象。

對經濟來說,進一步的壞消息是,除了疫情封鎖期間,英國在本財年上半年的借款達到了有史以來的最高水準。

4月至9月期間的超額借貸超出了官方預測。在本課稅年度的前六個月,政府借款總額為998億英鎊(1,339.4億美元),比去年同期增加13%,比國家預算監督機構的預測高出72億英鎊。

荷蘭國際集團分析師表示,秋季預算可能對市場產生「地震」影響,但可能推低而非推高英國公債殖利率。這可能是從「財政規則變更到可疑的緊縮承諾——這可能導致借貸成本飆升」。

英國10年期借款成本處於2022年9月飆升以來的最高水平,前財政大臣利茲·特拉斯因此下台。 「政府面臨一個選擇。違背選舉承諾,提高個人所得稅、員工所得稅或增值稅。政治上具有挑戰性,但微小的變化可以籌集到大筆可預測的資金。”

進一步的數據來自歐洲和德國10月份製造業和服務業PMI初值。德國製造業指數一如預期維持在49.5,服務業指數則從51升至54.5。

歐元並未受到歐元區數據的提振,歐元區數據符合市場預期,綜合數據從51上升至52.2。正是英鎊出人意料的強勢再次阻止了該貨幣對的進一步上漲。英國製造業指數從46.6上升至49.6,服務業指數略高,至51.1。

在周四的歐洲GDP數據之前,沒有高水準的數據,但交易者可以關注這一關鍵水平。

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