差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

布倫特原油影響英國政府的決策

上週,在美聯儲加息和言論引發避險環境後,英國原油價格一直在下跌。

交易員們對全球經濟增長前景感到擔憂,因為各國央行紛紛大幅加息,踩下剎車。布倫特原油的另一個問題將是政府最近的財政決定。

布倫特原油4小時圖

ukoil chart

英國原油價格下跌,以測試下降通道線的底部。突破這一底線可能導致布倫特原油進一步下跌。不過,如果金融市場本週能夠穩定下來,該指數可能會提供一個支撐位。目前,市場情緒疲弱,下行趨勢受到青睞。

政府最近出台的促進經濟增長的一攬子計劃引起了金融市場的不滿,對英鎊造成了嚴重影響。分析人士談到,英國央行有必要採取緊急行動阻止英鎊下跌。

然而,英國央行今天發布了一份被動聲明,導致英鎊兌美元匯率暴跌至1.03。英國央行週一表示,將毫不猶豫地加息,並“非常密切”地關注市場走勢。此前,英鎊匯率跌至創紀錄低點,債券價格暴跌。財政部長誇西·誇滕公佈了一份所謂的迷你預算,旨在促進經濟增長,但卻引發了人們對英國債務水平的擔憂。

一方面,海外投資者現在購買英國石油更便宜,原油需求將會出現。在公司方面,石油公司可以通過新的企業稅率削減來對沖部分暴利稅。然而,真正的問題將在投資方面,因為這些公司也以美元發布財報,它們從英國項目中獲得的收益將更少。另一個問題是,海外石油公司可能開始將英國視為一個不安全的投資環境。烏克蘭戰爭和歐洲對俄羅斯的製裁對石油市場造成的破壞增加了一些壓力。

現在人們的注意力將轉移到10月5日召開的石油輸出國組織(OPEC)下次會議上。該組織在上次會議上同意適度減產。但是,由於OPEC+的產量低於其產量目標,任何減產都可能不會對供應產生太大影響。

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