差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

沙特阿拉伯呼籲歐佩克減少石油供應,美油價格升至每桶90美元以上

今天,美國石油價格在亞洲交易時段恢復到每桶90美元以上,此前兩週一直低於這個水平。油價下跌的原因是,最近兩個月,由於俄羅斯的石油封鎖,石油輸出國組織(OPEC)領導人要求增加產量,從而增加了石油產量和供應,拉低了全球油價。因此,我們看到WTI在8月初創下85.45美元的新低。

然而,在石油供應增加的同時,沙特阿拉伯警告說,目前增加的供應沒有任何基本面因素支持,因此,歐佩克有必要削減增加的供應,以穩定油價。

在談到這一進展時,沙特阿拉伯石油部長阿卜杜勒-阿齊茲·本·薩勒曼王子表示:

“期貨價格不能反映潛在的供需基本面,這可能要求歐佩克在下個月開會時收緊生產,以考慮產量目標。”

因此,他認為歐佩克及其盟友(OPEC+)有必要降低當前的石油產量水平,因為不存在與供應匹配的基本因素。因此,如果不這樣做,可能會導致石油市場的價格暴跌。用他的話說:

目睹最近石油市場的有害波動,將破壞基本市場功能,破壞市場穩定”

沙特阿拉伯石油部長提到的另一個重要考慮因素是,為什麼歐佩克必須採取行動削減石油供應水平是美國和伊朗之間目前的核協議,正如美國國務院早些時候指出的,該協議現在正接近結束,對石油生產不利。

伊朗石油部長表示,目前的核協議一旦敲定,可能會讓伊朗重返產油國。迄今為止,伊朗因生產石油而受到製裁。進一步增加市場上的石油供應水平,這可能會導致油價暴跌。

呼籲歐佩克削減石油供應水平的呼聲引發了更多的買家,他們希望看到油價再次上漲,並回到之前的高點。因此,當天原油的買盤大幅增加,WTI和布蘭特原油分別以91.22美元和96.78美元收盤。隨著投資者希望獲得更多收益,多頭推動油價超越該水平。

最重要的是,分析人士認為,歐佩克可能會積極回應這一要求,減少石油供應,以保持價格穩定,避免未來的石油價格崩潰。

對全球經濟衰退的擔憂日益加劇,使得歐佩克迫切需要削減石油供應。

石油期貨將在很大程度上取決於歐佩克在下一屆會議期間是否決定削減或維持目前的石油供應水平。

WTI和布倫特原油價格預測

在今天的亞洲交易中,WTI在91.19美元的阻力位被拒絕。多頭需要突破這一水平,價格才會上漲。突破這一水平可能引發更多買盤,並推高至下一個阻力位94.10美元。

相反,如果WTI未能守住日支撐位90.38美元上方,預期低位支撐位89.40美元將被重新測試。跌破該水平可能引發進一步下行,直至86.17美元的上一低點。

同樣,布倫特原油在96.74美元處遭遇強勁阻力,已跌至96.34美元。在這一阻力被打破之前,我們可以更確信多頭正在掌控局面。之後的下一個目標是98.59美元。

儘管如此,如果布倫特原油未能守住其日支撐位96.01美元上方,我們可以預期會進一步下行,直至支撐位95.10美元。如果跌破可能會引發進一步下跌,直至之前的低點92.04美元。

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