差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

在指標顯示獲利回吐及缺乏經驗買家拖累下,比特幣大跌

在市場動態顯示反彈可能已經失去動力後,比特幣大幅下跌。

BTCUSD – Daily Chart

BTCUSD -日線圖

比特幣的價格未能維持在112,000美元上方的漲幅,並為重新測試107,443美元的水平打開了大門。從現在開始,不能排除向10萬美元邁進的可能性。

比特幣是全球市值最大的加密貨幣,已進入本輪週期的“歷史性後期階段”,其獲利回吐指標和資本流動與先前的週期高點類似。這是加密資料公司Glassnode的評估。

數據顯示,比特幣目前的上漲與2015-2018年和2018-2022年的上漲有相似之處,當時的歷史高點是在當前相對階段大約兩到三個月後達到的。

該公司指出,比特幣的流通供應已經連續273天高於+1標準差的利潤區間,僅次於2015-2018年週期的335天。長期代幣持有者已經獲得了比以往任何一個週期更多的利潤,這表明賣方壓力正在加大,短期資金正在支撐市場走勢。

Glassnode在一份週報中寫道:「這些訊號強化了這樣一種觀點,即當前週期正處於歷史性的後期階段。」該報告同時指出,在先前的周期中,這些類型的行為往往在幾個月內就會出現新的歷史高點。

CryptoQuant的數據也強調了這個問題,最新的比特幣持有者(錢包持有為一個月以下)現在是淨正的,因為這個群體持有的比特幣供應量在9月份增加了73,702比特幣。對於投機市場來說,股市由散戶資金主導是一個令人擔憂的跡象,而經驗不足的交易員現在正在支持比特幣交易。

儘管新進入者有所增加,但仍有跡象表明大型投資者有興趣。所謂的鯨魚投資者持續增持,錢包裡持有10到1萬枚代幣,自8月底以來,他們的代幣數量增加到56000多枚。上個月,交易所餘額也減少了3.1萬比特幣,這可能會減少短期內可供出售的比特幣數量。

在最新一輪拋售之前,ETF資金流入遭受了4.39億美元的拋售,抹去了上週的大部分資金流入,此前聯準會主席鮑威爾仍專注於通膨言論。比特幣etf受到的打擊最為嚴重,資金流出3.631億美元,其中富達的FBTC和ARK 21Shares的ARKB損失2.76億美元,資金流出5200萬美元。如果交易員在這些水平上進一步獲利,這些數字可能會變得更糟。

美國科技股指數當天也下跌,鮑威爾的鷹派立場令市場感到震驚,而比特幣控股公司MSTR當天損失了近10%的市值。

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