差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

澳幣兌美元聚焦GDP和服務業數據

澳元兌美元週二和週三可能會給交易者帶來一些波動。

AUDUSD – Daily Chart

澳幣兌美元-日圖

澳元兌美元交易於0.6620,支撐位在0.63,阻力位在0.69。

週二澳元/美元貨幣對將等待數據公佈。 美國ISM服務業資料將於香港時間晚上11點公佈,澳洲GDP資料將於週三上午8點30分公佈。

雖然10月份的通膨率降至4.9%,但年度水準仍高於澳洲央行2%至3%的目標,澳洲央行則表示大量移民加劇了消費者物價壓力。

澳新銀行執行長Shayne Elliott警告借款人,利率將在數年內保持在高位。 2024年甚至2025年都不太可能削減開支,因為政府在國防、再生能源和交通基礎設施方面的「固定」支出會推高通膨。

他說:“你必須退後一步,忘記明年——只考慮未來五年。”

他補充說,聯邦政府支出和高移民水準增加了價格壓力。

“包括澳大利亞在內的西方政府想要做的一切,從根本上講都是通貨膨脹。即使在很短的時間內,更高水平的移民也會給澳大利亞經濟增加增長壓力。”

截至今年9月,超過40萬移民移居澳大利亞,澳儲行預計,2025年底,通貨膨脹率將維持在3%以上。 艾利奧特表示,如果澳洲政府想要降低利率,就必須放棄大型基礎建設計畫。

他說:“如果我們還想做所有這些事情,就必須放棄其他一些東西。”

上週,澳儲行新任總裁布洛克在香港的一個央行總裁會議上說,移民水平上升加劇了通膨壓力。

短期內,交易員將依賴經濟數據,相信聯準會已經結束了升息週期。 市場對澳洲經濟的預期是再次升息。

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