差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美國股市持續創出新高

標準普爾500指數持續飆升,看不到盡頭。

SP 500 – Daily Chart

 

標普500指數-日圖

美國500強股指本週繼續走高,至5,185點。 支撐位現在已經回到了4820點的水平,目前還沒有跡象表明市場事件會引發回調。

週二,美國股市和公債殖利率走高,先前數據顯示,2月美國通膨仍處於高位。 這表明聯準會將利率維持在比市場預期更長的高點。

預計聯準會將在今年夏天將基準利率從23年高點下調。

然而,美國勞工部表示,由於汽油和房屋成本的上漲,消費者物價指數在1月上漲0.3%之後,上個月上漲了0.4%,與路透社調查經濟學家的預測相符。 截至今年2月的12個月裡,CPI上漲了3.2%,高於分析師預期的3.1%。

市場對聯準會首次降息的預期保持不變,根據CME的FedWatch Tool, 6月降息至少25個基點的可能性為69.7%。 但與前一天的71.7%相比有所下降。

汽車保險和醫療服務的成本主要推動了周二的價格上漲。 交易員現在將關注聯準會官員在未來幾天的言論,看看他們的利率路徑是否已經改變。

康乃爾大學教授Eswar Prasad表示:“這些通膨數字預示著美聯儲將面臨一個更加艱難的時期。”

他表示:“儘管美國經濟迄今表現良好,但存在一種風險,即持續的通脹以及美聯儲對此的反應,可能會將軟著陸情景轉變為軟性滯脹。”

億萬富翁投資者肯·格里芬警告美聯儲不要在利率上行動太快:「如果我是他們,我不會希望降息太快。他們最終可能做的最糟糕的事情是削減,暫停,然後迅速 改變方向,回到更高的利率。在我看來,這將是他們可能採取的最具破壞性的行動。”

週四將公佈的PPI數據和該國的零售銷售數據將成為股市的價格驅動因素。 在上個月零售額下降0.8%之後,預計2月零售額將反彈至0.8%。

整體股市繼續受到科技股上漲的推動,英偉達上個月上漲了30%。

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