差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

美国股市关注较长期阻力位

美国股市延续上涨,但现在距离将2020年低点与2月份高点联系在一起的阻力位不远。

SPX 500 – Weekly Chart

标准普尔500指数-周线图

标准普尔500指数4月份的低点已成为遥远的记忆,市场已突破2月份的高点。市场目前正接近连接2020年低点与高点的阻力位。这可能是整个10月份值得关注的水平。

今天半导体和人工智能股票的强势推动了周三大盘的上涨。媒体乐观地认为,人工智能领域的增长和人工智能方面的支出将为企业带来利润,但对这一主题的质疑越来越多。

股市也受到美国经济复苏和美联储进一步宽松政策将继续支撑经济的希望的支撑。债券收益率下降帮助了这一评估,10年期美国国债收益率下降1个基点,至4.11%

市场忽略了美国政府关门的影响,在周末经济清淡的情况下,有可能进一步上涨,以测试所指出的阻力位。

政府关门意味着政府报告的发布推迟,包括周二的8月贸易数据和上周的月度就业数据。政府长期停摆可能会推迟10月15日公布的政府通胀数据。白宫表示,长期关闭将导致与特朗普优先事项不一致的政府项目的雇员被广泛解雇。彭博经济估计,在政府停摆期间,64万名联邦工作人员将被迫休假,这将把失业率推高至4.7%。

不断上升的企业收益推动了股市的上涨。据彭博资讯报道,标准普尔500指数中超过22%的公司公布的第三季度业绩指引超出了分析师的预期。然而,预计第三季度的利润增幅将是两年来最小的。

市场目前预计,在10月28日至29日举行的下一次FOMC会议上,降息25个基点的可能性为93%。如果美联储主席鲍威尔因通胀等政府数据推迟发布而决定推迟降息,市场可能会感到不安。

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