差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美國股市關注較長期阻力位

美國股市延續上漲,但現在距離將2020年低點與2月高點連結在一起的阻力位不遠。

SPX 500 – Weekly Chart

標普500指數-週線圖

標準普爾500指數4月的低點已成為遙遠的記憶,市場已突破2月的高點。市場目前正接近連接2020年低點與高點的阻力位。這可能是整個10月份值得關注的水平。

今天半導體和人工智慧股票的強勢推動了周三大盤的上漲。媒體樂觀地認為,人工智慧領域的成長和人工智慧的支出將為企業帶來利潤,但對此主題的質疑越來越多。

股市也受到美國經濟復甦和聯準會進一步寬鬆政策將繼續支撐經濟的希望的支撐。債券殖利率下降幫助了這項評估,10年期美國公債殖利率下降1個基點,至4.11%

市場忽略了美國政府關門的影響,在周末經濟清淡的情況下,有可能進一步上漲,以測試所指出的阻力位。

政府關門意味著政府報告的發布推遲,包括週二的8月貿易數據和上週的月度就業數據。政府長期停擺可能會延後10月15日公佈的政府通膨數據。白宮表示,長期關閉將導致與川普優先事項不一致的政府項目的員工被廣泛解僱。彭博經濟估計,在政府停擺期間,64萬名聯邦工作人員將被迫休假,將失業率推高至4.7%。

不斷上升的企業收益推動了股市的上漲。根據彭博資訊報道,標準普爾500指數中超過22%的公司公佈的第三季業績指引超出了分析師的預期。然而,預計第三季的利潤增幅將是兩年來最小的。

市場目前預計,在10月28日至29日舉行的下一次FOMC會議上,降息25個基點的可能性為93%。如果聯準會主席鮑威爾因通膨等政府數據延遲發布而決定推遲降息,市場可能會感到不安。

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