差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

欧央行弹性政策提振欧罗

欧洲央行议息会后,重申货币政策保持弹性,不会排除年底前考虑加息,言论提振欧罗,兑美元由1.11反弹至1.14水平。欧罗反弹,美元曾跌至95边缘。随后美国公布一月非农就业数据理想,较预期(15万人)及上月(19.9万人)增加至46.7万人。一月失业率为4%,较上月3.9%微升。另外,平均时薪月率和年率分别上升,其中年率升幅明显报5.7%,较上月4.7%及预期5.2%增长。美国就业数据改善,市场注视联储局加息步伐,美元从三星期低位回升,但仍未能收复96关失地。

 

料美随时再为期油发声

 

周四公布美国一月CPI及首领失业救济金人数被受关注,其中CPI年率预期为7.2%,核心CPI预期升至5.9%,如结果达到预期,将会是美国40年来通胀最高水平。随时触动美国政府及联储局联手行动为通胀降温。市场普遍预期,联储局为压抑通胀,加息步伐和幅度将会提升,估计三月份联储局将会宣布加息,而幅度可能升至0.5%而并非0.25%。相关信息可能从同日FOMC票委、克利夫兰联储主席就美国经济和货币政策前景讲话时透露或指引。若更多数据和信息支持美国加息步伐加快,美元将有望重拾升势,初目标指向96.20或重返97关。技术上若一月份低位94.6失守,下行趋势将可能展开或下探93.78。

美国政府与全球持续通胀高企的最大原因直指国际油价暴涨所至,近期美国期油和布兰特期油分别升上90美元以上创七年高位,相信美国拜登政府随时再度发声,借压抑油价的言论对抗美国通胀高企问题。若国际油价被成功打压,对加拿大元将有直接影响。近期油价持续高企,美元兑加元重上1.28前遇阻,倘若油价回落后美元兑加元打开1.2832阻力,将会上望1.2962。反之,若油价持续上升,美元兑加元或再下试1.2562或1.2502支持位。

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