差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

新台币大涨后需关注的关键价位

新台币汇率升至2022-23年以来的最高水平,令金融市场感到不安。

USDTWD - Weekly Chart
美元兑新台币-周线图

美元兑新台币出现了自上世纪80年代以来的最大涨幅,并在2022年和2023年初跌至支撑位。这两个水平现在是避免进一步回调至2022年开盘价的防线。

在乐观的经济增长数据和贸易紧张局势缓和之后,新台币飙升。来自美国的强劲科技股收益增加了市场的积极情绪。

美国和中国之间为解决贸易分歧而进行的谈判导致了对新台币的需求。台湾经济增长快于预期,在Meta等大型科技公司继续瞄准巨额人工智能资本支出后,对半导体需求的希望有所增加。

据称,随着对台币的需求改善,台湾出口商试图在卖出美元后,也加入了美元路线。

华侨银行的Christopher Wong表示:“新台币的升值速度快于预期,令许多市场参与者措手不及,促使他们纷纷将美元兑换成台币。”“近期新台币的上涨,也受到中美对话前景的推动。”

花旗表示:“人工智能基础设施建设仍是超大规模企业的关键优先事项,这些企业愿意承担关税成本。”他们补充称,“我们认为这对涉及人工智能的股票有利,”包括AMD在内。

据称,台湾政府支持的银行正在按照标准操作买入美元,但这不足以阻止资金外流。

另一个推动因素是,随着客户从海外投资中获利了结,交易所交易基金(ETF)开始抛售美元。低流动性市场遇到了卖家数量的增加,美元现在将寻求修复近期的一些失地。

荷兰国际集团的Francesco Pesole在周二的一份报告中写道,台湾等经济体对美元计价资产的敞口处于历史高位,在最近几周美元走弱后,这是一个负面因素。

他补充称:“中国企业目前正寻求加大美元对冲力度,并开始从美国投资转向多元化。”

当地芯片和电子产品制造商的大部分收入以美元计算,这可能会影响它们未来几个季度的利润。

最近的新闻
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周一,由于对霍尔木兹海峡局势的担忧重燃,油价上涨,通胀担忧再次升温,市场对近期降息的预期减弱,黄金价格跌破每盎司4800美元。据CNBC市场报道,现货黄金在亚洲早盘交易中下跌0.4%,至每盎司4809美元,此前一度跌至4月13日以来的最低点。 黄金-5日走势图 市场概览 此前,受中东冲突相关的避险需

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本周交易重点:通胀迷雾、财报博弈与中东变量三重交织

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霍尔木兹海峡再度中断,市场担忧紧张局势重新加剧

要点 * 上周五市场的乐观期待在周末没有得到实现,伊朗否认将参与和美国的新和平谈判,美国周日表示,已扣押一艘试图突破其封锁的伊朗货船;伊朗则表示将进行报复。美国总统特朗普周五表示,除非能在周三前达成结束战争的长期协议,否则他可能会终止与伊朗的停火。周一,原油价格跟随局势大幅高开,市场情绪转为紧张。

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周末美伊或进行下一轮会谈,美股连续第二日创下新高

要点 * 美国总统特朗普周四宣布,黎巴嫩和以色列已就为期10天的停火达成一致,并表示美国与伊朗的第二轮会谈可能于本周末举行,这进一步增强了人们对伊朗战争可能即将结束的乐观预期。 * 美国上周初请失业金人数降幅超预期;3月制造业产出意外下滑,显示企业信心受到能源价格冲击的影响。 * 今日关注重点:市场

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