差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

新台币大涨后需关注的关键价位

新台币汇率升至2022-23年以来的最高水平,令金融市场感到不安。

USDTWD - Weekly Chart
美元兑新台币-周线图

美元兑新台币出现了自上世纪80年代以来的最大涨幅,并在2022年和2023年初跌至支撑位。这两个水平现在是避免进一步回调至2022年开盘价的防线。

在乐观的经济增长数据和贸易紧张局势缓和之后,新台币飙升。来自美国的强劲科技股收益增加了市场的积极情绪。

美国和中国之间为解决贸易分歧而进行的谈判导致了对新台币的需求。台湾经济增长快于预期,在Meta等大型科技公司继续瞄准巨额人工智能资本支出后,对半导体需求的希望有所增加。

据称,随着对台币的需求改善,台湾出口商试图在卖出美元后,也加入了美元路线。

华侨银行的Christopher Wong表示:“新台币的升值速度快于预期,令许多市场参与者措手不及,促使他们纷纷将美元兑换成台币。”“近期新台币的上涨,也受到中美对话前景的推动。”

花旗表示:“人工智能基础设施建设仍是超大规模企业的关键优先事项,这些企业愿意承担关税成本。”他们补充称,“我们认为这对涉及人工智能的股票有利,”包括AMD在内。

据称,台湾政府支持的银行正在按照标准操作买入美元,但这不足以阻止资金外流。

另一个推动因素是,随着客户从海外投资中获利了结,交易所交易基金(ETF)开始抛售美元。低流动性市场遇到了卖家数量的增加,美元现在将寻求修复近期的一些失地。

荷兰国际集团的Francesco Pesole在周二的一份报告中写道,台湾等经济体对美元计价资产的敞口处于历史高位,在最近几周美元走弱后,这是一个负面因素。

他补充称:“中国企业目前正寻求加大美元对冲力度,并开始从美国投资转向多元化。”

当地芯片和电子产品制造商的大部分收入以美元计算,这可能会影响它们未来几个季度的利润。

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