差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由于杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。 62.96%的零售投资者帐户在跟这个供应商交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。
62.96%的零售投资者帐户在跟这个供应商交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。
差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由于杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。 62.96%的零售投资者帐户在跟这个供应商交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。
75.12% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs / Spread betting with this provider.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75.12% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs / Spread betting with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs / Spread betting work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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美非农就业数据启示

美国去年12月非农就业报告看似好坏参半,但内容带有惊喜和启示。美国12月非农就业新增职位19.9万,不仅比上月21万下降,更远低于12月ADP私人市场就业职位所录得的80.7万和原先市场预期的45万。从该数字可能反应美国消费市道最畅旺的12月份,制造业,非制造业和政府所带来的新增职位没有提升,更可能受美国新变种病毒Omicron扩散的影响窒碍经济步伐甚至收缩。但该报告内容的其他重要部份,12月失业率和平均工资分别录得理想改善,失业率是第十次连续下降,由上月4.1%跌至 3.9%,失业率已跌至接近美国疫症大流行前水平。还有关乎收入和消费支出的平均工资月率,由上月增加0.3%升至0.6%,年率较前值则略低但仍然胜预期。从这两部份的数据,显示美国就业市场及工资增长方面仍然良好,基本上已符合联储局主席和有关官员所提及的加息门槛。相信,投资者正等待星期三及星期五,确认美国的通胀和消费数据,为美元提供更多指引外,最重要是借此指引下月联储局的缩表计划和加息步伐是否应该更加积极。

 

美元仍反覆徘徊

美元近期徘徊96上下之间,本周在美国公布通胀及零售销售数据前,估计仍然反覆徘徊,待结果后判断美元去向。因应近期联储局发放鹰派语调和就业市场理想状况,最新利率期货显示,美国3月份议息的加息0.25%机会已升至90%。若本周美国通胀继续表现增长强劲,意味加息机会可能更高,美元将有机会呈现更强势表现。技术上,美元在过去一个月在95.5至96.9区间波动,若突破95.5,将留意下一级支持95.1。相反,若美元重返96 水平后,将再考验96.7 或96.9。只有突破95.1支持位或96.9阻力位,美元将再有进一步明显方向。

Last Updated: 10/01/2022

This market commentary and analysis has been prepared for ATFX by a third party for general information purposes only. Any view expressed does not constitute a personal recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell as it does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives, and should therefore not be interpreted as financial, investment or other advice, or relied upon as such. You should therefore seek independent advice before making any investment decisions. This information has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. We aim to establish and maintain and operate effective organisational and administrative arrangements with a view to taking all reasonable steps to prevent conflicts of interest from constituting or giving rise to a material risk of damage to the interests of our clients. The market data is derived from independent sources believed to be reliable, however we make no representation or warranty of its accuracy or completeness, and accept no responsibility for any consequence of its use by recipients. Reproduction of this information, in whole or in part, is not permitted.


 

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