美元兑加元本周聚焦经济数据的公布

美元兑加元汇率受到本周经济数据的影响。

USDCAD – Daily Chart

美元兑加元-日图

美元兑加元汇率一直在一个价格区间内交易,可能会朝着1.33的水平前进。

预计周二公布的加拿大的通胀率将从2.9%降至2.8%。由于其疲软的通货膨胀数据,美元对各种货币都走弱。

投资者现在正期待着美联储的首次降息,预计将在9月份进行。

由于经济疲软,加拿大央行也面临着降息的压力。

企业破产率在过去一年中增加了87%,达到2008年全球金融危机以来的最高水平。失业率也比去年同期上升了20%。

此前泡沫迭起的房地产市场也出现了放缓。一度炙手可热的大多伦多地区4月房屋销售环比下降3.4%,在过去三个月中有所下滑,较上年同期下降5%。与此同时,新上市的房屋数量每年增长47%,这种新的供需背景为住宅价格趋于平缓创造了条件。

在美国,美联储理事米歇尔·鲍曼再次表示,她对提高利率持开放态度,理由是通胀风险上升。

“虽然目前的货币政策立场似乎处于限制性水平,但如果即将公布的数据显示通胀进展停滞或逆转,我仍愿意在未来的会议上提高联邦基金利率目标区间,她表示。

与其他美联储官员一样,鲍曼表示,在调整目前处于23年高位的利率之前,美联储将需要评估更多的数据,尤其是通胀的下降。

由于经济放缓,加元一直走软。然而,由于预期利率会下降,现在交易员正在抛售美元。

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