美国原油价格锁定低点,寻求突破70美元

由于交易员考虑到供应可能减少,油价一直在从近期低点回升。

USOIL-–-Daily-Chart-1

USOIL -每日图表

目前,美国原油正在65美元附近的2024年低点再次寻求支撑。目前油价正在寻求70美元以上的走势,以确保上述水平作为中期低点。

美国财政部宣布了另一轮与伊朗有关的制裁,目标还包括一家独立的中国炼油厂和其他参与向中国供应伊朗原油的实体。市场得到的信息是,作为伊朗石油的最大买家,中国企业也无法免受美国制裁压力的影响。

这是自特朗普总统承诺“最大压力”并承诺将伊朗石油出口降至零以来,华盛顿对德黑兰的第四轮制裁。越来越严厉的制裁制度可能会使一些市场参与者在未来与伊朗公司打交道时更加谨慎,并可能限制全球供应。

澳新银行分析师表示,由于制裁收紧,他们预计伊朗原油出口量将减少100万桶/天。2月份伊朗原油出口量超过180万桶/日。

石油价格也受到OPEC+ 7个成员国计划进一步减产的提振,以弥补产量高于此前商定的水平。该计划意味着在2026年6月之前,每月减产18.9万桶至43.5万桶。

欧佩克+本月早些时候表示,其八个成员国将继续从4月份开始每月增加13.8万桶/天。目标是扭转2022年达成的585万桶/天的减产协议,以支持市场。

在油价进一步上涨之前,石油市场参与者希望看到伊拉克、哈萨克斯坦和俄罗斯遵守减产计划的证据。在油田扩张之后,哈萨克斯坦3月份的石油产量创下历史新高。

如果原油价格能以上述价位为低点,石油公司的股票就能寻找动力。

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