标准普尔500指数遭遇阻力,可能出现回调

标准普尔500指数已在之前的阻力位形成锤头形态,未来一周将面临重要考验。

SPX 500 – Daily Chart

标准普尔500指数-日图

标准普尔500指数在5,220点遇到阻力,可能开始回调。如果突破这一水平,可能会测试历史高点。

美国股市因美联储官员在利率问题上的鹰派言论而陷入困境。市场希望9月份开始降息,但也有可能推迟。

在最近的演讲和采访中,多位美联储官员都表示,在最近的通胀数据公布后,政策制定者将采取谨慎、慎重的货币政策。

纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰·威廉姆斯表示,“目前的政策处于非常好的位置。”相比之下,明尼阿波利斯联邦储备银行总裁卡什卡利补充道,”我认为我们更有可能在此停留的时间比我们预期的要长。”

芝加哥联邦储备银行总裁古尔斯比周五也发表了评论,他表示,央行应该等一等再采取行动。

接下来的重要数据将是本周三公布的消费者价格指数。

“他们可能需要几个月的通胀数据显示它正在回落,然后才会发出信号……他们有信心降息,”堪萨斯城联邦储备银行前行长乔治表示。

她补充称,今年仍有可能降息两次,目前市场已经消化了这一点。另一名前官员表示,12月更有可能首次调整利率。

美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将在周二晚上发表讲话,这可能会导致市场在没有数据的情况下安静下来。

上周,高盛指出,他们的回购业务本月将迎来约55亿美元的股票购买,并将继续支撑标准普尔500指数。

财报季即将结束,股票走势可能会更多地聚焦在公司特定的新闻或地缘政治上。

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