日经指数飙升至历史新高,创造突破潜能

日本日经指数上周五飙升,目前看来有望延续涨势。

JP225 – Daily Chart

JP225 -日线图

JP225突破阻力位52,735点,并可能进一步走高。此前的高点现在可以作为任何重新测试的支撑。

日本最大股指摆脱了最近对中国关系的负面情绪,创下历史新高。日经指数从连续三天的回落中反弹,原因是人们希望日本和美国之间进行新的关税谈判。

美国总统特朗普周五表示,美国“非常接近”与日本达成协议,股市走高。日本一名高级关税谈判代表将于本周访问华盛顿,进行第二轮谈判。

三井住友市场策略师Masahiro Ichikawa表示:“在降低关税方面可能会取得一些进展。”“投资者现在想看看日本能拿出什么来换取减产。”

一些分析师押注该指数今年将温和上涨,瑞银预计将上涨5.4万点。

“我们对2026年底日经225指数的目标是54,000点,这意味着上涨8%左右。瑞银证券日本的Nozomi Moriya表示:“这完全是我们的基本情况,根本上是由盈利增长推动的。”

野村证券的Maki Sawada表示:“在通胀持续、薪资持续增长的假设下……企业更有可能保持产量增长和价格上涨。”

然而,如果人工智能泡沫在2026年继续存在,两家公司都认为有可能延长收益,潜在目标是6万人。

野村综合研究所表示:“这将需要异常强劲的条件,例如,当前‘臃肿’的形势变得更加膨胀,或者人工智能和数据中心的繁荣进一步过热。”

周五的强劲走势让多头占据主导地位,如果本周人气保持稳定,交易商可以寻求多头进场,因美国贸易协议可能提振市场。

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