欧元兑美元本周聚焦美联储和杰克逊霍尔年会

欧元兑美元汇率延续了近期的涨势,本周将等待美联储会议纪要以及杰克逊霍尔研讨会。

EURUSD – Daily Chart

欧元美元-日图

欧元兑美元在1.0950阻力位上方找到了优势,现在有可能向1.1139水平推进。

本周晚些时候,随着美联储会议纪要的公布,全球最活跃的汇率可能出现波动。美联储最近一次利率会议的记录可能会为央行的货币政策计划提供线索。

星期四也是一年一度的杰克逊霍尔研讨会的开始,世界各国央行行长在这里开会讨论经济问题。当美联储主席鲍威尔周五就美国经济发表讲话时,所有人的目光都将集中在他身上。

经济学家现在预计,在联邦公开市场委员会上个月将基准利率维持在5.25%至5.5%之后,鲍威尔将发出削减借贷成本的信号。此举使美联储与英国央行产生了分化,后者决定四年多来首次降息。随着通胀回落至目标水平,欧洲央行也在降息。

在会议召开之前,AJ Bell的分析师表示:“投资者正在努力应对政策分歧的影响,央行官员们发现自己正处于舞台的中心,原因可能让他们感到不太舒服。”

“市场可能会关注,尤其是在市场继续消化——甚至期待——美联储降息之际……一些投资者可能会抓住每一个字不放。”

欧元兑美元周二也将看到欧元区的核心通胀,预计将维持在2.9%。周四欧洲央行还将公布最近一次利率会议的纪要。

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