伊朗可能提议重开霍尔木兹海峡,加上美联储决议在即,金价跌破4700美元

周二,由于伊朗可能提出重开霍尔木兹海峡的提议,抑制了对贵金属的需求,金价跌破每盎司4700美元的关口。与此同时,由于美联储召开为期两天的政策会议(将于周三结束),交易员们也采取了谨慎的态度。

XAUUSD-2026-04-28

XAUUSD – 5日图表

市场概览

周二,现货黄金(XAU/USD)走低,跌幅扩大,此前金价已跌破4700美元的重要支撑位。由于投资者在美联储即将于美国东部时间4月29日下午2点公布利率决议前调整投资组合,金价持续承压。金价下跌反映出地缘政治风险溢价的降温,而这些溢价历来支撑着金价近期的表现。

事件详情

市场参与者正对有关伊朗和美国拟达成协议以缓和霍尔木兹海峡紧张局势的报道做出反应。此前几周,市场主要受供应中断担忧的影响,而这一进展为大宗商品市场带来了谨慎的乐观情绪。与此同时,美联储于4月28日召开例行会议,市场普遍预期委员会将维持3.50%-3.75%的联邦基金利率不变。

展望

未来几个交易日黄金价格的走势可能取决于霍尔木兹海峡协议的具体进展以及FOMC政策声明的基调。投资者将关注以下因素:

  • 霍尔木兹海峡重新开放条款的官方确认。
  • FOMC政策声明的结果以及委员会经济预测的任何更新。
  • XAU/USD在4700美元下方盘整期间的技术支撑位或阻力位。

关于作者

 

Martin Lam 是 ATFX 亚太区首席分析师,在全球外汇及投资市场拥有逾 20 年的经验。他毕业于迪肯大学(Deakin University),主修金融与经济学,并曾在多家领先的外汇经纪公司担任高级管理职位。

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霍尔木兹海峡交通量的改善抵消了美国经济制裁和原油价格下滑的影响

周一,原油价格下跌,原因是霍尔木兹海峡的航运活动出现小幅回升,缓解了市场对短期供应中断的担忧;这一因素的影响盖过了美国针对伊朗扩大经济制裁措施所带来的市场冲击。截至美东时间16:56,布伦特原油下跌2.5%,至每桶90.35美元;美国西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)下跌2.4%,至每桶84.95美元。 布伦特原油价格

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