美国主要股指下跌,市场等待伊朗对和平提议的回应

周四,美国股市收低,投资者评估美伊和平协议希望渺茫以及霍尔木兹海峡紧张局势再度升级。

SPX-2026-05-08

标普500指数 – 一日图表

标普500指数下跌0.4%,收于7335.66点;纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.1%,收于25806.20点;道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.6%,收于49596.60点。伊朗国家媒体在尾盘报道称,美国袭击了一艘伊朗油轮,伊朗随后进行了导弹反击,这加剧了市场的不确定性。

由巴基斯坦斡旋的外交努力仍然停滞不前。尽管美国总统特朗普称最近的会谈“非常好”,但伊朗官员则将美国的提议描述为“愿望清单”,并表示德黑兰仍在审查该提议。霍尔木兹海峡是重要的石油运输通道,局势依然紧张。伊朗实施了新的油轮文件要求,而沙特阿拉伯和科威特解除基地使用限制后,美国可能重启“自由计划”护航任务。

油价在早盘下跌后企稳。布伦特原油下跌0.7%至每桶100.54美元,而美国WTI原油上涨0.4%至每桶95.44美元。油价仍远高于冲突前的水平,美国汽油均价超过每加仑4.50美元。

在周五的关键就业报告发布前,劳动力市场数据喜忧参半:4月份裁员人数升至83,387人,为2009年以来同期最高水平;而首次申请失业救济人数小幅上升至20万人,低于预期。

标普500指数第一季度盈利增长预计为24.6%,所有11个板块均实现增长。人工智能相关需求推动了Arm等芯片公司的业绩增长,但供应限制对其股价构成压力。Tapestry上调了业绩预期,但股价仍下跌12.4%;惠而浦下调营收预期后,股价下跌11.9%。

市场目前正密切关注伊朗对和平提议的正式回应以及周五公布的就业数据。外交破裂可能再次引发对石油供应的担忧,而谈判取得进展则可能降低风险溢价并支撑股市。

关于作者

 

Martin Lam 是 ATFX 亚太区首席分析师,在全球外汇及投资市场拥有逾 20 年的经验。他毕业于迪肯大学(Deakin University),主修金融与经济学,并曾在多家领先的外汇经纪公司担任高级管理职位。

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油价走势概览 2026年9月28日(周一),布伦特原油价格上涨1.2%,至98.79美元,收复了上周五的跌幅。此前,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普拒绝了伊朗关于重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的最新提议。就在前一天(2026年9月27日,周日),特朗普曾告诉记者,一旦与伊朗的冲突结束——他预计这一天很快就会到来——油价将会“暴跌”。

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