港股实现了熟悉区间的突破

中国最近的刺激措施已为恒生指数设定了一个潜在的低点。

HK 50 – Weekly Chart

香港50指数周图

香港50指数已从另一个测试16842点的支撑位反弹,市场现在有机会向22764点的水平上涨。

摩根大通分析师表示,在中国央行公布一系列广泛措施后,空头回补可能推动了近期香港股市的部分大幅上涨。

Wendy Liu写道,上周二,香港卖空交易占市场总交易量的比例降至13.6%。这使得该比率比2016年以来的市场平均水平低一个标准差。

这是一个迹象,表明任何规模过大的空头头寸现在都已得到回补,未来几周买家可能成为主导群体。当中国央行与经济疲软划清界限后,空头不太可能再次出现。中国当局曾期待市场自行复苏,后来开始出手支持企业和房主。

香港股市连续第四天飙升,成交量创历史新高,突破2万点大关,创下26年来的最佳单周表现。截至上周五,恒生指数上涨3.6%,至20,632点。这是自2023年4月以来的最高水平,当周上涨了13%。

这是自1998年10月股市上涨14.9%以来的最佳单周表现,为中国股市增加了逾4,400亿美元的市值。

据彭博社报道,周五市场总交易量飙升至4450亿港元(合570亿美元),创历史新高。科技股上涨5.8%,上证综合指数跃升至四个月高点。

花旗亚洲及澳大利亚市场主管Paul Smith表示:“近年来,我们的客户在亚洲股市,尤其是中国内地和香港股市,经历了一段最繁忙的时期。”“这些最新措施为市场提供了新的动力,鉴于投资者的持续兴趣,我们认为这种动力将继续下去。”

恒生指数的上涨驱散了卖空者,在中国央行发出进一步降息和刺激措施的信号后,他们不太可能重返市场。

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