在美国新的关税威胁下,黄金突破至2900美元上方

XAUUSD – Daily Chart20250211黄金-4小时图

尽管美元走强,金价仍创历史新高

在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普宣布针对商品进口征收新的贸易关税后,黄金价格(XAUUSD)周一飙升至前所未有的水平,无视美元走强。不断升级的贸易紧张局势刺激了投资者对避险资产的需求,尤其是黄金。

截至美国东部时间下午3:30(格林尼治标准时间20:30),现货黄金上涨1.5%,至每盎司2904.19美元,当日早些时候曾达到2911.44美元的历史高点。4月份交割的黄金期货也飙升1.6%,至每盎司2933.61美元。

美国宣布关税推动黄金需求

在金价飙升之前,特朗普总统周日宣布对美国进口的所有铝和钢铁征收25%的关税。此举加剧了人们对全球贸易可能受到干扰的担忧,促使投资者涌向黄金,将其作为对冲经济不确定性的可靠手段。

此外,特朗普还提出了互惠关税计划,旨在使美国的进口关税与其贸易伙伴保持一致。在此之前,美国对中国进口商品征收10%的关税。

贸易战升级引发经济担忧

新的关税加剧了人们对世界最大经济体之间贸易战升级的担忧。分析人士警告说,旷日持久的贸易冲突可能会扼杀全球经济增长,扰乱国际贸易流动。

今年以来,金价已经飙升了10%以上,连续创下历史新高。对关税的担忧可能会推高通胀和放缓经济增长,这提振了对黄金等避险资产的需求,”荷兰国际集团分析师指出。

贵金属市场普遍上涨

黄金价格的上涨也提振了其他贵金属。白银期货上涨0.1%,至每盎司32.468美元,铂金期货上涨1.3%,至每盎司1,034.40美元。

市场不确定性对工业金属的影响

在关税消息传出后,工业金属面临不同反应。伦敦金属交易所基准铜期货价格持平于每吨9,468.00美元,而3月铜期货价格上涨2.4%,至每磅4.7008美元。

“随着特朗普重返白宫,市场的波动性和不可预测性都处于更高的水平。持续的贸易争端可能会抑制全球增长,削弱对工业金属的需求,”荷兰国际集团补充道。

美联储关注通胀数据

展望未来,美联储主席鲍威尔定于周二和周三在国会发表半年一次的货币政策证词。市场参与者将密切关注他的言论,以了解潜在的关税可能如何影响美国经济。

经济学家和美联储官员警告说,新关税将主要影响美国进口商,可能会加剧通货膨胀,降低降息的可能性。此外,定于本周晚些时候发布的1月份消费者价格指数通胀数据,预计将影响未来的利率决策。

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