在美国申请失业人数增加和加沙停火推迟下,金价走高

由于美国疲弱的就业数据和以色列的又一次和平失败,美国市场金价走高。

Gold – Daily Chart

黄金日图

在美国时段,金价已升至2331美元,阻力位目前位于2352美元,可能再次突破。

周四公布的美国每周首次申请失业救济人数上升,达到去年8月以来的最高水平。截至5月4日当周,首次申请失业救济人数为23.1万人,较前一周增加2.2万人。经济学家原本预计会增加到21万。

在最新数据出炉之前,美国上周公布的就业数据较为疲弱,投资者目前预计美国经济的强劲程度有所下降,这可能会提前美联储降息的步伐。

即使美联储行动缓慢,欧洲和英国央行似乎也更急于降低利率。英国央行周四表示,随着通胀“朝着正确的方向发展”,它可能最早于6月下调基准利率。

金价上涨,一方面是因为预期利率将会下降,另一方面也是因为中东新一轮停火谈判步履蹒跚。

最新的新闻报道称,一名以色列官员说:“在开罗举行的这一轮加沙停火和人质释放谈判已经结束。”现在的计划是“继续推进拉法和加沙地带其他地区的行动”。

美国总统乔·拜登首次公开表示,如果以色列军队继续入侵加沙南部的拉法,美国将停止向以色列提供武器。

“我明确表示,如果他们进入拉法……我不会提供武器,”拜登周三告诉CNN。

根据世界黄金协会(WGC)的数据,黄金最终可能会令投资者感到意外,因为黄金交易所交易基金连续第11个月下跌。黄金ETF的总持有量下滑至3080吨,为四年多来的最低水平。

这意味着金价受到了机构买入和央行的支撑。如果股价再次升至历史高点,散户投资者可能会回归。

最近的新闻
地缘政治不确定性加剧,黄金突破4900美元创历史新高

周四,黄金价格飙升至每盎司4900美元以上的新高,延续了过去一年来令人瞩目的涨势,金价累计上涨超过70%。据主要市场数据来源显示,现货价格在最新一轮上涨中一度达到每盎司4920美元至4950美元的区间。 此次金价飙升主要归因于多种因素的共同作用,包括地缘政治紧张局势升级、市场对美联储降息的预期不断增强以及美元走软。随着实际收益率的下降,持有黄金的机会成本降低,而美元走软则使黄金对非美国投资者更具吸引力。

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