格陵兰协议传出后,全球股市表现出乎投资者意料

上周,美国政府就格陵兰问题达成协议的消息传出后,全球股市表现强劲,令投资者感到意外。

 

英国100指数 – 日线图

英国100指数周四升超过0.75%,距离历史新高仅差约50点。然而,该指数回吐了部分涨幅,周五走势分化。这表明英国股市存在潜在的谨慎情绪。

格陵兰协议的达成消除了人们对局势可能旷日持久并导致进一步敌对和市场紧张的担忧。对于英国和其他欧洲国家而言,这也结束了对美国出口商品征收高额关税的威胁。

这原本可能使英国陷入严重的经济衰退,但明年经济下滑的预期已经出现,而股市投资者似乎对此视而不见,继续推动股市向另一个历史新高迈进。

与此同时,近期一项针对企业主的调查发现,25%的企业主预计明年经济将出现下滑,高于去年的13%。普华永道全球CEO调查显示,约38%的企业主预计经济增长,但这一比例较去年的61%大幅下降。

根据格陵兰岛协议,美国预计将获得该岛国的部分领土,用于建设军事基地。此举也可能缓解特朗普与北约之间的紧张关系。

股市或许能暂时摆脱地缘政治压力,但总统仍在损害国家稳定。在委内瑞拉政权更迭和伊朗受到威胁的两周内,贸易关税的威胁迫在眉睫,投资者或许正在思考下一步需要采取哪些措施。

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地缘政治不确定性加剧,黄金突破4900美元创历史新高

周四,黄金价格飙升至每盎司4900美元以上的新高,延续了过去一年来令人瞩目的涨势,金价累计上涨超过70%。据主要市场数据来源显示,现货价格在最新一轮上涨中一度达到每盎司4920美元至4950美元的区间。 此次金价飙升主要归因于多种因素的共同作用,包括地缘政治紧张局势升级、市场对美联储降息的预期不断增强以及美元走软。随着实际收益率的下降,持有黄金的机会成本降低,而美元走软则使黄金对非美国投资者更具吸引力。

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