英镑兑纽元在关键阻力前面临数据指引

英镑兑纽元汇率本周有欧洲央行和英国央行的重要讲话指引。

GBPNZD – Weekly Chart

英镑兑纽元-周线图

英镑兑纽元在2.20上方交投,但如果失败,可能会出现回调。2020年的高点2.19将在未来几周发挥关键作用。

英镑兑纽元的关键数据将于周四公布,新西兰经济的通胀预期将在香港时间上午10点测试近期下跌至2.12%的水平。任何通货膨胀的上升都可能缓和纽元兑英镑近期的下跌。

香港时间下午3点公布的英国GDP增长数据预计将显示该国经济年增长率从0.9%上升至1.1%。这将是最重要的数据,因为英国经济必须支持该国的转型计划,而政府负担不起更多的借款。

英国经济在这一关键阻力位上的任何放缓都可能成为回调的催化剂。一家领先的经济智库表示,在预算提振了公共支出后,英国经济今年有望增长1.5%,但如果唐纳德·特朗普批准征收关税,英国经济可能会偏离正轨。

英国国家经济和社会研究所将其年度经济增长预测从1.2%提高到1.5%,这对英国财政大臣来说是一个鼓舞。

然而,该机构警告称,在美国总统对中国进口商品征收10%的关税、对加拿大和墨西哥进口商品征收25%的关税之后,关税的扩大可能会将增长速度降至1.3%,如果这些关税直接打击英国企业,增幅可能会更大。

在一个不断变化的世界里,纽元可能会悄无声息地升值,因为各经济体的主要出口收入可能会减少25%。

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