欧元兑美元汇率受周五欧洲数据影响

欧元兑美元汇率受到周五经济数据的影响,其中德国零售销售数据是关键。

EURUSD – Daily Chart

欧元兑美元-日线图

欧元兑美元从最近的支撑位测试中反弹,与4月份的高点一致。通往1.1800的路径已经被拒数次,但如果数据带来支持的话,它可能成为目标。

德国下午2点的零售销售数据是周五欧元的关键数据,分析师预计在上个月增长4.9%后,该数据将达到2.6%。

整个下午都有不同国家的数据,但其中一些数据清淡,可能不会推动价格波动。下午2点45分法国的通货膨胀和下午3点西班牙的通货膨胀,将导致下午3点55分德国的就业数据。下午5点之前还有其他一些数据要公布,但交易员们会更关注晚上8点发布的德国CPI。

纽约联邦储备银行总裁威廉姆斯就利率发表鸽派言论后,美元遭抛售,扶助欧元上涨。威廉姆斯周三在接受CNBC采访时表示,“从我的角度来看,每次会议都是”可能降息的“现场直播”。

“风险更趋于平衡,”他说。“我们只需要看看数据是如何发挥作用的。”

在美联储9月16-17日政策会议之前即将公布的数据包括周五公布的个人消费支出物价指数(PCE),以及一周后公布的月度就业报告。交易员目前押注下个月降息25个基点的可能性为84%,预计到年底将累计降息56个基点。这些预期令两年期公债收益率跌至政策预期水准,跌至5月1日以来最低,令美元承压。

在特朗普总统决定解雇美联储一名政策制定者后,美元也面临压力。

最近的新闻
英镑兑美元在霍尔木兹海峡石油危机和英国央行降息预期骤降的背景下重回1.3400关口

周一,英镑兑美元强势反弹,重返1.3400上方,上涨0.3%至1.3431,交易员在200日均线附近进行震荡盘整。早盘一度跌至1.3280,此次反弹反映出市场对英国央行降息的预期减弱,而中东紧张局势升级加剧了能源通胀担忧。尽管霍尔木兹海峡危机引发了更广泛的避险情绪,英镑兑美元的复苏仍凸显了其韧性。 事件详情

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