差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元兌美元匯率受週五歐洲數據影響

歐元兌美元匯率受到週五經濟數據的影響,其中德國零售銷售數據是關鍵。

EURUSD – Daily Chart

歐元兌美元-日線圖

歐元兌美元從最近的支撐位測試中反彈,與4月的高點一致。通往1.1800的路徑已經被拒於數次,但如果數據帶來支持的話,它可能成為目標。

德國下午2點的零售銷售數據是周五歐元的關鍵數據,分析師預計上個月成長4.9%後,該數據將達到2.6%。

整個下午都有不同國家的數據,但其中一些數據清淡,可能不會推動價格波動。下午2點45分法國的通貨膨脹和下午3點西班牙的通貨膨脹,將導致下午3點55分德國的就業數據。下午5點之前還有其他一些數據要公佈,但交易員們會更關注晚上8點發布的德國CPI。

紐約聯邦儲備銀行總裁威廉斯就利率發表鴿派言論後,美元遭拋售,扶助歐元上漲。威廉斯週三在接受CNBC採訪時表示,「從我的角度來看,每次會議都是」可能降息的「現場直播」。

「風險更趨於平衡,」他說。 “我們只需要看看數據是如何發揮作用的。”

在聯準會9月16-17日政策會議之前即將公佈的數據包括週五公佈的個人消費支出物價指數(PCE),以及一週後公佈的月度就業報告。交易員目前押注下個月降息25個基點的可能性為84%,預計到年底將累積降息56個基點。這些預期令兩年期公債殖利率跌至政策預期水準,跌至5月1日以來最低,令美元承壓。

在川普總統決定解僱聯準會一名政策制定者後,美元也面臨壓力。

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