欧元兑英镑汇率聚焦法国大选和数据影响

EURGBP - Daily Chart

欧元英镑-日走势图

欧元兑英镑在0.85060水平面临强劲阻力。如果进一步走软,该货币对将在0.8246得到支撑。

法国总统马克龙面临着在勒庞领导的国民大会党手中惨败的前景。一项新的民意调查显示,在他的政党在欧洲选举中被击败后,他决定提前举行选举,这一决定将适得其反。

法国选民将于6月30日进行投票,包括总统的文艺复兴党在内的亲马克龙政党联盟获得19.5%的选票。《世界报》的益普索民意调查显示,新法兰西党获得36%的支持率,左翼联盟新人民阵线获得29%的支持率。

这次选举可能会严重影响法国的政策,因为马克龙将被迫从最大的政党中任命一位总理。根据法国宪法,总理负责管理国内事务,而总统只对国防和外交政策有影响力。

欧元兑英镑也有经济数据需要消化,香港时间下午14:45法国将公布通胀数据。6月份的初步数据可能会接近2%的目标,而上个月的数据为2.3%。德国失业率将达到15:55,市场预计将比上个月的2.5万人增加1.5万人。最后,意大利也将在香港时间下午5点公布通胀数据。

法国大选在周日举行,这可能会增加外汇市场周日开盘时的波动性。接下来的一周,欧洲通胀和7月4日的英国大选将成为焦点。由于苏纳克的保守党民调远远落后于工党,预计英国也将出现领导层换届。

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