黄金在阻力位被拒后面临更大调整的风险

在再次尝试突破3429美元阻力位失败后,黄金价格遭受下压。

XAUUSD - Daily Chart

黄金-日线图

在美元真正反弹之前,黄金已经连续四天下跌。同样令人担忧的是,日线图显示第四次突破失败。

今年是反美元主题表现强劲的一年,这导致黄金和比特币的ETF资金大幅飙升。摩根大通资产管理公司的数据显示,4月份黄金ETF管理的总资产超过1,700亿美元。在2023年1月加密etf问世后,它们现在正迅速赶上黄金。

观察这些数据很重要,以便了解这是投资者的短期多元化举措,还是将迎来一个新的趋势。

现在有人担心,随着美国签署贸易协议,美元崩溃的主题被夸大了。然而,正如作家Nicholas Naseem Taleb所指出的那样,对黄金的新投资显然有分量。

“你可以看到央行储备中黄金的积累,以及过去12个月黄金的走势。当然,这并非始于特朗普的政策。这是从拜登开始的,他冻结了与普京有关的人的账户,认为这将受到限制,但与普京无关的人决定远离欧元和美元。”

“黄金现在实际上是储备货币,”他说。“交易以美元、欧元,通常是美元进行,汇率相同;然而,它们又被转换回黄金,我们可以从外汇储备的积累中看到这一点。”

然而,最新的价格走势显示,3,429美元的水平非常顽固。修正可能会展开,但任何突破都应认真对待。

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