欧元兑日元聚焦欧元区GDP寻找下一步走向

在触及价格阻力后,欧元兑日元汇率将于周四聚焦欧洲GDP数据。

TWSE:2354
欧元兑日元-日线图

欧元兑日元在164.93找到阻力位,该水平标志着2025年的高点。一个看跌的日收盘价正在发挥作用,GDP可能会确认突破或修正。

香港时间周四下午5点将公布欧元区最新经济数据,包括就业数据和第一季度GDP初步数据。经济学家们预计经济增长0.4%,全年预期保持在1.2%。

欧洲央行政策制定者路易斯•德金多斯将于下午6点15分发表讲话,这也可能为周五之前的行动增添一些动力。在通货膨胀率下降后,预计欧洲央行今年降低借贷成本的幅度将超过此前的预期。

立陶宛央行行长Gediminas Simkus上周告诉彭博社,由于欧元区经济尚未感受到最近关税的影响及其“明显的反通胀力量”,6月份的另一次行动是“必要的”。

他还表示,“有可能在6月之后再次降息”,尽管时机尚未确定。他补充称,可能在7月、9月或12月再次降息。芬兰央行行长奥利•雷恩也表示,如果欧洲央行的新预测证实了通缩前景,他将支持下个月再次采取行动。

摩根大通的Greg Fuzesi本周表示:“数据中的下行风险可能仍需成为现实,才能说服欧洲央行在6月之后降息。”他指的是执行董事会成员伊莎贝尔·施纳贝尔,他说:“我们仍然认为这将会发生,即使施纳贝尔还需要很多时间来说服。”

在日本,首相石破茂的经济顾问小组建议投资4,000亿美元,以提高小型企业的生产率,带动日元有所升值。

现在,人们的注意力转向了欧元的第一季度GDP数据,如果欧元在最近的关税之前显示出疲软,可能会增加调整。

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