经济数据将考验欧元兑加元汇率的升势

德国和加拿大的数据将在周三考验欧元兑加元汇率。

EURCAD – Daily Chart

欧元兑加元-日图

欧元兑加元已升至1.4927上方,但即将发布的数据可能会决定价格是会在这里失败,还是会继续上升至1.50428。

随着油价的调整,欧元兑加元汇率自6月底以来一直在反弹。加拿大经济的疲软也对欧元有利。德国GfK消费者信心指数将于香港时间周三下午2点公布。下午3:30的另一个关注数据是HCOB制造业数据。

分析师预计,尽管最近降息,但消费者信心指数将从-21.8降至-21。周二,欧洲消费者信心指数也略有下降,从14.0降至13.0。周二,西班牙欧洲央行官员路易斯·德金多斯表示,通胀数据“实际上与我们的预测相符”。

“数据方面,9月份比7月份更便于做决定。目前的不确定性很大,所以我们在做决定时必须谨慎。”

德金多斯说,欧洲央行将密切关注工资增长情况。然而,冯德莱恩的连任和法国大选也存在不确定性。

德国数据公布后,加拿大央行将在晚间晚些时候公布利率决定。市场预计美联储将再降息25个基点,从4.75%降至4.5%。

Convera Canada高级分析师Michael Goshko表示:“加拿大只是在跟随大宗商品价格下跌的趋势。”“所有的大宗商品货币都在遭受重创。”

加拿大是石油等大宗商品的主要生产国,由于对中国需求的担忧,石油目前处于六周以来的低点。

Goshko表示,”明天加拿大央行可能面临一些事件风险,以及他们希望表现得多么温和。”

降息25个基点可能会让加元走强,而德国疲弱的经济数据也将有助于止住近期的涨势。

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