中国股市缺乏短期催化剂

中国股市仍处于盘整模式,在进一步上涨之前,可能会对近期支撑位进行考验。

CHINA 50 – Daily Chart
中国50指数日线图

中国50指数的价格在13147点支撑位上方徘徊,基调偏空。在进一步走高之前,这一水平可能会再次受到质疑。

市场对投资者对特朗普攻击伊朗的反应做好了准备。一些人可能认为这是中东问题的终结,但其他人则不那么肯定。

今年年初,外国投资者押注中国境内股票,因为他们预计中国政府将出台更多市场刺激措施。六个月后,疲软的经济对在岸市场造成了伤害,恒生中国企业指数在2025年超过了沪深300指数近20%,这是20年来最大的年度表现。

宝盛集团和摩根士丹利的分析师预计,香港市场将继续领跑。内地投资者今年向香港股市投资了近900亿美元,占到2024年总额的90%。

宝盛的Richard Tang表示,随着近期的上市和即将进行的IPO,该行业在香港的分布“也变得更加全面”。他补充称:“在全球再平衡资金流动和强劲南下资金流动的推动下,h股很可能继续跑赢a股。”

中国50指数可能会继续保持同样的趋势,除非国内投资者能找到更多参与的理由。在房地产行业受到影响后,许多人仍持谨慎态度。

上周公布的中国零售额跃升6.4%,创下自2023年以来最大的市场惊喜,这给消费者市场带来了一些希望。荷兰国际集团表示,最近的数据还显示,中国今年将实现增长目标。

他们表示:“尽管经济放缓,但年初至今的增长仍相当稳定,同比增长6.3%,工业活动在今年上半年出人意料地保持了增长动力。”

最近的新闻
黄金反弹至4100美元上方,因投资者在美国CPI公布前调整仓位

周四金价回升至4100美元上方,XAUUSD现货黄金报4145美元,上涨1.1%,因投资者在周五关键的美国通胀报告出炉前重新调整头寸。此前,中国股市连续两天大幅下跌,周二出现五年来最大单日跌幅。 金价反弹之际,地缘政治紧张局势再起,美国前总统特朗普对中国的贸易言论略有软化,这些因素重振了对传统避险货币的需求。特朗普政府宣布对俄罗斯石油巨头卢克石油公司和俄罗斯石油公司实施新的制裁,以应对莫斯科在乌克兰的战争,这增强了黄金的吸引力。

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