澳元兑美元周二聚焦澳洲联储利率决定

澳元兑美元将关注澳大利亚储备银行对未来走势的指引。

AUDUSD - Daily Chart
澳元兑美元-日线图

澳元兑美元已经从全球市场最初的关税冲击带来的大幅下跌中恢复过来。0.65现在是进一步上涨的阻力位,汇价需要守在0.6360上方。

联邦银行的Tom Piotrowski说,市场一致认为澳大利亚储备银行将降息0.25个百分点。

“至少在市场定价方面是这样的——有一些理智的观点会持有不同的立场。但无论如何,这就是市场所期待的,”他在接受天空新闻采访时说。

尽管市场普遍预期澳大利亚央行将降息,但周二的政策会议仍可能令市场意外。随着关税问题增加了全球的不确定性,人们的预测各不相同,一些人预计会大幅削减关税,而另一些人则预计不会采取行动。

央行的利率决定将于香港时间下午12:30公布,新闻发布会定于下午13:30举行。由于赤字和支出问题,穆迪下调美国债务评级后,澳元同其他主要货币走强。

澳大利亚的经济也不是很健康,它的生产率表现几乎是发达国家中最差的。生产力委员会正在调查是否应该降低该国30%的公司税率,以提高劳动力的生产力。

美国财政部长贝森特淡化了最近美国债务评级下调的影响,称这是“一个滞后指标”。

在接受CNN采访时,他指责了乔·拜登的前任政府。

“我们不是在过去的100天里走到这一步的,”他说。“这是拜登政府和我们在过去四年中继承的支出,赤字占GDP的比例为6.7%,这是我们没有陷入衰退、没有陷入战争时的最高水平。”

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