Las apuestas por diferencias y los CFD son instrumentos complejos y conllevan un alto riesgo de perder dinero rápidamente debido al apalancamiento.
La gran mayoría de las cuentas de clientes minoristas pierden dinero cuando operan con CFDs.
Debe considerar si puede permitirse asumir el alto riesgo de perder su dinero.

El EURUSD, alcista antes del discurso del presidente del BCE

El EURUSD será alcista antes del jueves, ya que los operadores dan por hecho que la última decisión del BCE sobre los tipos de interés aumentará 50 puntos básicos y mantendrá un tono de halcones.

eurusd

EURUSD – Gráfico diario

El EURUSD ha estado atrapado entre los niveles 1,0699 y 1,0807. En cambio, el Fibonacci es del 61,8% y del 100%, y los operadores podrían intentar jugar el rango entre ambos antes de la decisión sobre los intereses del BCE de este jueves.

La reunión del BCE de este jueves es crítica para el euro; los halcones controlan la política monetaria del Banco Central Europeo. Las elevadas lecturas de inflación y el nuevo máximo cíclico del índice subyacente, al tiempo que la actividad económica parece repuntar, han acallado la resistencia de los partidarios de una política más acomodaticia. Al mismo tiempo, la política fiscal parece menos estricta. Los umbrales del Pacto de Estabilidad y Crecimiento se suspendieron debido a la pandemia y a la invasión rusa de Ucrania. Volverán a aplicarse a partir del año que viene, pero otros objetivos sociales fomentan cierta flexibilidad. Las propuestas formales de la CE tardarán al menos unas semanas en llegar. Aun así, los rumores apuntan a que podría considerarse la posibilidad de comprometerse con las reformas y perseguir los objetivos estratégicos de la UE (transición digital, sostenibilidad medioambiental y ampliación de las capacidades de defensa). Esto habla de planes presupuestarios más personalizados, y los países acreedores necesitarán más flexibilidad.

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