差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

日本央行幹預臆測導緻美元兌日圓大跌

由於投資人猜測日本央行可能會幹預,美元兌日圓匯率週四出現大跌。

USDJPY – Daily Chart

美元兌日圓跌至之前的阻力位158.40,之後出現小幅反彈。這個水平現在是一個臨界點,有可能出現更大幅度的回調,低至152。美元兌日圓匯率的未來是不確定的,需要謹慎和策略規劃。

美國通膨遜於預期,導致投資人押注於利率的早期變動。目前,市場對聯準會9月降息的預期從70%提高到了85%。這種可能的降息凸顯了正向決策的必要性。

由於波動幅度之大,投資人也懷疑日本央行會幹預匯市,日本央行外匯官員Masato Kanda拒絕排除這種可能性。神田曾表示,近期日圓走勢受投機主導,損害了家庭支出。當被問及日本央行是否會介入時,他表示,如果情況屬實,將在月底公佈。

日本央行上一次出手幹預是在5月份,分析家表示,160美元是日本央行的底線。

“毫無疑問,日本財務省進行了乾預,”三菱UFJ首席匯市策略師Daisaku Ueno表示,並指出160日圓兌1美元是”最後防線”。

今天的暴跌是在匯價跌至近162之後發生的。

由於投資者對聯準會將在9月和12月下調基準利率的預期增強,美元兌日圓匯率可能再次走低。

在連續兩次在160的水平上進行幹預後買入該貨幣對也是不明智的。由於美國或日本未來沒有重要數據,這將是獲利了結和新空頭可能出現的另一個原因。

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